Match Overview
Juárez and Puebla are gearing up for a significant clash in the Liga MX, with both teams eager to claim victory and improve their standings. Juárez, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Puebla will aim to disrupt Juárez's plans and secure a crucial away win.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Juárez favored slightly at 1.9, indicating a 52.63% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.27, translating to a 30.58% chance, while Puebla's odds of 3.34 suggest a 29.94% probability of an away victory. These figures highlight the potential for a closely contested match, with Juárez having a slight edge.
Team Analysis
Juárez
- Current Form: Juárez has shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1.14 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.25%.
- Strengths: Juárez's offensive capabilities are underscored by their average of 10.54 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 17.68.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, Juárez has struggled, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Juárez has had a challenging time against Puebla, with previous encounters often resulting in tight matches.
Puebla
- Current Form: Puebla has been resilient, averaging 1.04 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 39%.
- Strengths: Puebla's defense is relatively solid, with an average of 41.07 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output is limited, with only 0.39 assists per match.
- Head-to-Head: Puebla has managed to hold their own against Juárez, making this matchup intriguing.
Key Players Spotlight
Juárez
- Óscar Estupiñán: With 9 goals this season, Estupiñán is Juárez's top scorer and a key threat.
- Madson: His contributions have been vital, with 147.36 points this season.
Puebla
- Lucas Cavallini: Cavallini has scored 4 goals, making him a crucial player for Puebla.
- Ricardo Marín: His performance, with 175.13 points, has been instrumental for Puebla.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Juárez averages 10.54 shots per game, while Puebla slightly edges them with 11.04.
- Defensive Metrics: Puebla's interceptions (41.07) surpass Juárez's (37.86), indicating a stronger defensive presence.
- Possession and Passing: Juárez's possession rate of 48.25% is higher than Puebla's 39%, suggesting better control of the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Juárez is slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and offensive capabilities. However, Puebla's defensive resilience could make this a challenging encounter. Key factors such as Estupiñán's goal-scoring prowess and Cavallini's impact will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: Juárez 2-1 Puebla Half Time Score Prediction: Juárez 1-0 Puebla Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%