MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Querétaro are set to face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. Juárez, currently holding a slight edge in the odds, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. This match is crucial for Juárez as they seek to solidify their position in the league, while Querétaro will be looking to upset the hosts and gain valuable points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Juárez favored at 2.1, indicating a 47.6% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.16, translating to a 31.6% chance, while Querétaro's odds of 3.43 reflect a 29.2% probability of an away victory. These odds highlight Juárez's slight advantage, but the close margins suggest that Querétaro could pose a significant challenge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.09%. Their offensive capabilities are supported by key players like Óscar Estupiñán, who has scored 9 goals this season. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.66 goals per game. Querétaro, on the other hand, has struggled offensively with only 0.87 goals per match but boasts a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.58 goals per game. The head-to-head statistics favor Juárez, but Querétaro's tactical approach could exploit Juárez's defensive weaknesses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juárez's Óscar Estupiñán is a standout performer with 9 goals, making him a key threat to Querétaro's defense. Ángel Zaldívar and Guilherme Castilho also contribute significantly to Juárez's attacking prowess. For Querétaro, Pablo Barrera and Rubio Rubín are crucial players, with Barrera scoring 4 goals this season. The matchup between Estupiñán and Querétaro's defense will be pivotal in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Juárez's offensive metrics, including 10.66 shots per game and 3.84 shots on target, indicate a proactive approach, while their possession rate of 48.09% suggests a balanced style. Querétaro's lower possession rate of 39.61% and fewer shots on target highlight their defensive focus. Juárez's higher expected goals (1.0) compared to Querétaro's (0.84) further underscores their attacking edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Juárez is likely to leverage their home advantage and offensive capabilities to secure a win. Key factors such as Estupiñán's form and Juárez's higher expected goals suggest they will dominate the match. However, Querétaro's defensive resilience could lead to a closely contested game. Final score prediction: Juárez 2-1 Querétaro.