MATCH OVERVIEW
Mazatlán and Club Tijuana are gearing up for an exciting showdown in the Liga MX, with the match scheduled to take place at Estadio de Mazatlán. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings. Mazatlán, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Club Tijuana will aim to capitalize on their strong offensive form.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Mazatlán having a slight edge as the home team. The odds are set at 2.19 for a Mazatlán win, 3.09 for a draw, and 3.09 for a Club Tijuana victory. This indicates a 45.7% probability for Mazatlán to win, while the draw and Club Tijuana win both stand at 32.3%. The odds reflect a balanced match-up, with Mazatlán's home advantage slightly tipping the scales in their favor.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mazatlán has had a mixed season, with an average of 31 matches played and a possession rate of 47.03%. Their goal-scoring has been modest, averaging 0.81 goals per game, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.19 goals per match. Club Tijuana, on the other hand, has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.51 goals per game and maintaining a higher possession rate of 59.66%. Their defensive record, however, shows vulnerability, with 1.83 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-head statistics favor Club Tijuana, who have shown better form in recent encounters. Mazatlán will need to focus on improving their offensive output and capitalizing on set-pieces, given their average of 5.81 corners per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mazatlán's Nicolás Benedetti has been a key player, scoring 4 goals this season, while Hugo González has been instrumental in defense. For Club Tijuana, José Raúl Zúñiga stands out with 16 goals, making him a significant threat. The matchup between Benedetti and Zúñiga will be crucial, as both players have the ability to change the game's dynamics.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mazatlán's offensive metrics show room for improvement, with only 3.29 shots on target per game. Their defensive stats, including 35.52 interceptions, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play. Club Tijuana's offensive prowess is evident with 4.91 shots on target per game and a higher expected goals rate of 1.46. Their passing accuracy, with 440 successful passes per game, gives them a strategic advantage in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Club Tijuana's offensive strength and higher possession rate give them a slight edge in this match. However, Mazatlán's home advantage and defensive capabilities could lead to a closely contested game. The key factors will be Mazatlán's ability to contain Zúñiga and capitalize on their set-piece opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Mazatlán 1-2 Club Tijuana Half Time Score Prediction: Mazatlán 0-1 Club Tijuana Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%