Match Overview
Mazatlán and Guadalajara are set to face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could have lasting implications on their season standings. With both teams showing varying forms, this encounter at the Estadio de Mazatlán is expected to be a closely contested battle.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Mazatlán at 2.25, Draw at 3.3, and Guadalajara at 2.8. These odds suggest a fairly balanced match, with Mazatlán having a slight edge as the home team. The probability of a Mazatlán win stands at approximately 44.4%, a draw at 30.3%, and a Guadalajara win at 35.7%. Based on these odds, a close match is anticipated, with a slight inclination towards a home victory.
Team Analysis
Mazatlán
- Current Form: Mazatlán has had an average season with 30 matches played, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 15.87 successful dribbles per match and a solid defensive line with 35.67 interceptions.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 0.33 assists per game and a low goal-scoring rate.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Mazatlán has had mixed results against Guadalajara, making this match a crucial test.
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has played 31 matches, averaging 1.26 goals per game, indicating a more potent attack than Mazatlán.
- Strengths: Possession play with 51.77% average possession and effective passing with 353.55 successful passes per game.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in defense with 1.06 goals conceded per game.
- Head-to-Head: Guadalajara has often been competitive against Mazatlán, making this an intriguing matchup.
Key Players Spotlight
- Mazatlán: Nicolás Benedetti, with 3 goals this season, will be crucial in leading the attack.
- Guadalajara: Roberto Alvarado, a top performer with 8 goals, will be a key threat to Mazatlán's defense.
- Matchup: The duel between Benedetti and Alvarado could be decisive in determining the outcome.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Guadalajara leads with 1.26 goals per game compared to Mazatlán's 0.8.
- Defensive Metrics: Mazatlán's defense is slightly more robust with 1.17 goals conceded compared to Guadalajara's 1.06.
- Possession and Passing: Guadalajara's superior possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Guadalajara appears to have a slight advantage due to their superior attacking capabilities and possession play. However, Mazatlán's home advantage and defensive resilience could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors such as player performances and tactical execution will be crucial.
Final Score Prediction: Mazatlán 1-2 Guadalajara Half Time Score Prediction: Mazatlán 0-1 Guadalajara Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%