MATCH OVERVIEW
Puebla and Mazatlán face off in a pivotal Liga MX match at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Scheduled for January 14, 2026, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. Puebla, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Mazatlán seeks to upset the hosts and gain momentum.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.85 for a Puebla win, 3.33 for a draw, and 3.55 for a Mazatlán victory. These odds suggest a 54.1% probability of a Puebla win, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 28.2% likelihood of a Mazatlán win. Based on these figures, Puebla is favored to secure the victory, but the odds also indicate a competitive match with potential for a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Puebla has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.24 goals per match and a concerning 2.47 goals conceded per game. Their offensive play is supported by a 51.65% possession rate and a high dribble success rate of 75.7%. However, their defense has been leaky, as evidenced by their high goals against and expected goals against metrics.
Mazatlán, on the other hand, averages 1.18 goals per match and concedes 1.71 goals. They have a lower possession rate of 44.18% but boast a strong interception rate of 38 per game, indicating a solid defensive setup. Their ability to score is complemented by a 70.59% both teams to score percentage, suggesting they can find the net even against tough defenses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez stands out with 6 goals this season, making him a key offensive threat. Nicolás Díaz and Juan Fedorco also contribute significantly to the team's performance. Mazatlán's attack is led by Fábio Gomes, Nicolás Benedetti, and Facundo Almada, each with 3 goals, providing a balanced scoring threat.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Puebla's offensive metrics, such as 11 shots per game and a 70.59% over 2.5 goals percentage, highlight their attacking potential. Defensively, their high expected goals against and goals conceded are areas of concern. Mazatlán's defensive strength is reflected in their 38 interceptions per game and a lower goals conceded rate compared to Puebla.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical data and current form, Puebla is likely to edge out Mazatlán in this encounter. Key factors include Puebla's home advantage and their superior offensive metrics. However, Mazatlán's defensive resilience could make this a closely contested match. Final score prediction: Puebla 2-1 Mazatlán.
All predictions, betting tips, and odds provided on this page are generated using data-driven models and expert analysis. While we strive for accuracy, no prediction can guarantee results. Soccer outcomes are influenced by numerous unpredictable factors such as injuries, weather, and team decisions. Please use our content as informational only and not as financial advice.
<0>Predictions.GG does not promote or encourage gambling.0> If you choose to place bets, please do so responsibly and ensure it complies with the laws and regulations in your country. For help with problem gambling, visit <1>BeGambleAware.org1> or your local support service.