Match Overview
The upcoming Liga MX match between Pumas UNAM and Guadalajara is a significant fixture in the current season. Both teams are in the hunt for valuable points that could influence their standings as the season unfolds. The match will be held at Estadio Olímpico Universitario, with kickoff scheduled for 03:10 AM UTC.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Pumas UNAM to win at 2.32, a draw at 3.28, and Guadalajara to win at 2.91. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Pumas UNAM having a slight edge as the home team. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 43.1%, a draw at 30.5%, and an away win at 34.4%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Pumas UNAM seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Pumas UNAM
- Current Form: Pumas UNAM has played 28 matches this season, with an average of 1.29 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong dribbling skills with 20.07 dribbles per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.21 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Struggles with possession, averaging 49%, and a relatively low assist rate of 0.68 per game.
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has played 27 matches, scoring an average of 1.37 goals per game.
- Strengths: Better possession at 51.44% and a higher assist rate of 0.89 per game.
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher goals conceded at 1.15 per game and more dangerous own half losses at 4.3 per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Pumas UNAM and Guadalajara have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach from both sides will be crucial, with Pumas likely to focus on their defensive solidity and Guadalajara aiming to capitalize on their possession advantage.
Key Players Spotlight
- Pumas UNAM: Ignacio Pussetto, with 7 goals this season, will be a key figure in attack. César Huerta, contributing 5 goals, also poses a significant threat.
- Guadalajara: Roberto Alvarado, the top scorer with 8 goals, will be pivotal in breaking down Pumas' defense. Cade Cowell, with 5 goals, adds depth to their attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Pumas averages 13 shots per game, with 4.43 on target, while Guadalajara averages 11.41 shots, with 4.07 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Pumas has a slight edge in interceptions with 36.04 per game compared to Guadalajara's 32.3.
- Possession and Passing: Guadalajara's superior possession and passing accuracy could be decisive, with 419.63 passes per game and 350.44 successful passes.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Pumas UNAM is slightly favored to win this encounter. Key factors such as home advantage and defensive resilience could tip the scales in their favor. However, Guadalajara's ability to control possession and create chances cannot be underestimated. Expect a closely fought match with Pumas UNAM edging out a narrow victory. Final score prediction: Pumas UNAM 2-1 Guadalajara.