Match Overview
The upcoming Eredivisie match between Almere City and NAC Breda is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their positions in the league table. Almere City, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their home advantage, while NAC Breda will look to continue their decent form on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Almere City at 2.66, Draw at 3.54, and NAC Breda at 2.42. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with NAC Breda slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win is approximately 37.6%, a draw is 28.2%, and an away win is 41.3%. Based on these odds, NAC Breda is expected to edge out Almere City, but the match could swing either way.
Team Analysis
Almere City
- Current Form: Almere City has struggled this season, with an average of 0.63 goals per match and conceding 2 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their defensive resilience is highlighted by 3.54 goalkeeper saves per match.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they have been underwhelming, with only 0.33 assists per game.
NAC Breda
- Current Form: NAC Breda has been more effective in front of goal, averaging 1.08 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is supported by 1.21 expected goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede 1.75 goals per match, which could be a concern.
Head-to-Head
Historically, NAC Breda has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Almere City will be motivated to change the narrative at home.
Tactical Approaches
Almere City may adopt a cautious approach, focusing on solidifying their defense, while NAC Breda might exploit their offensive capabilities to press for goals.
Key Players Spotlight
Almere City
- Junior Kadile & Kornelius Hansen: Both have scored 2 goals this season and will be key in Almere City's attack.
NAC Breda
- Elías Már Ómarsson: With 7 goals, he is a significant threat and will be crucial for NAC Breda's offensive strategy.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Almere City: 10.13 shots per game, 3.08 on target.
- NAC Breda: 10.17 shots per game, 3.71 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Almere City: 42.75 interceptions per game.
- NAC Breda: 42.96 interceptions per game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical insights and current form, NAC Breda appears to have a slight edge. Their superior offensive metrics and historical advantage suggest they might secure a narrow victory. However, Almere City's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
Final Score Prediction: Almere City 1-2 NAC Breda Half Time Score Prediction: Almere City 0-1 NAC Breda Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58.33%