Match Overview
Almere City and PEC Zwolle face off in a pivotal Eredivisie match that could shape their respective seasons. Almere City, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be looking to leverage their home advantage to climb up the standings. Meanwhile, PEC Zwolle, sitting comfortably mid-table, aims to consolidate their position and push for a higher finish.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are quite balanced, with Almere City at 2.45, a draw at 3.62, and PEC Zwolle at 2.55. This suggests a closely contested match, with PEC Zwolle slightly favored to edge out a win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 40.8%, while an away win is at 39.2%, and a draw at 27.6%. Given these odds, PEC Zwolle might have a slight edge, but Almere City's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Almere City
- Current Form: Almere City has struggled this season, with only 0.62 goals per match and a high concession rate of 1.92 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is commendable at 13.12 per match, indicating potential in breaking defensive lines.
- Weaknesses: Low possession (43.23%) and goal-scoring ability are major concerns.
PEC Zwolle
- Current Form: PEC Zwolle has shown better form, averaging 1.15 goals per match and maintaining a solid possession rate of 48.19%.
- Strengths: Their passing accuracy and offensive capabilities are strong, with a CompaScore Offensive Rating of 508.6.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 1.58 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, PEC Zwolle has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on Almere City's defensive frailties. However, Almere City's home advantage could level the playing field.
Tactical Approaches
Almere City might focus on a counter-attacking strategy, utilizing their dribbling prowess to exploit spaces. PEC Zwolle, on the other hand, could dominate possession and use their passing accuracy to control the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Almere City
- Junior Kadile: With 2 goals this season, Kadile is a key attacking threat.
- Vasilios Zagaritis: His defensive contributions are vital, with a season rating of 178.82.
PEC Zwolle
- Dylan Vente: Leading the scoring charts with 11 goals, Vente is crucial for Zwolle's offensive play.
- Jasper Schendelaar: His defensive solidity is reflected in his season rating of 214.97.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Almere City: Average shots per match stand at 10.15, with 3.08 on target.
- PEC Zwolle: Slightly lower average shots at 9.12, but a similar accuracy with 3.15 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Almere City: Conceding 1.92 goals per match, indicating defensive struggles.
- PEC Zwolle: Conceding 1.58 goals, showing slightly better defensive organization.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, PEC Zwolle appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Almere City's home advantage and potential for counter-attacks could make this a closely contested match.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Almere City: Effective counter-attacks and exploiting defensive gaps.
- PEC Zwolle: Dominating possession and utilizing Dylan Vente's goal-scoring prowess.
Final Score Prediction
A narrow victory for PEC Zwolle seems likely, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. However, Almere City's resilience at home could lead to a draw if they capitalize on their chances.