MATCH OVERVIEW
AZ will face Groningen in a pivotal Dutch Eredivisie match at the AFAS Stadion. As the season approaches its end, AZ is determined to maintain their impressive form and secure a top position in the league. Meanwhile, Groningen is looking to defy the odds and improve their standing. The match is scheduled for May 11, 2025, at 14:45, and promises to be a captivating contest.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match favor AZ with a 1.43 chance of winning, translating to a probability of approximately 70%. The odds for a draw stand at 4.57, indicating a 22% chance, while Groningen's odds are 7.1, suggesting an 8% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, AZ is expected to dominate the match, but Groningen could surprise if they capitalize on key opportunities.
TEAM ANALYSIS
AZ has been in commendable form this season, with a strong offensive lineup averaging 1.6 goals per match and a solid defense conceding only 1.13 goals per game. Their possession rate of 53.17% and high number of successful passes highlight their control in matches. Conversely, Groningen has struggled, averaging 1.07 goals per game and conceding 1.5 goals. Their possession rate of 46.9% indicates a need for improvement in controlling the game.
Head-to-head statistics show AZ's dominance, with superior offensive and defensive metrics. AZ's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities through key passes and successful dribbles. Groningen, on the other hand, will need to focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks to challenge AZ.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
AZ's Troy Parrott has been a standout performer, scoring 14 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial against Groningen's defense. Sven Mijnans and Ibrahim Sadiq also contribute significantly to AZ's attacking prowess.
For Groningen, Marco Rente and Hjalmar Ekdal are key players, with Rente's defensive skills being vital in thwarting AZ's attacks. Jorg Schreuders, with 5 goals, will be essential in leading Groningen's offensive efforts.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
AZ's offensive metrics, including 13.53 shots per game and 5.13 shots on target, demonstrate their attacking strength. Their expected goals of 1.57 further emphasize their capability to score. Defensively, AZ's interceptions and clearances are crucial in maintaining their solid backline.
Groningen's statistics reveal challenges, with lower shots per game and expected goals. Their defensive metrics, such as interceptions and clearances, will need to be optimized to withstand AZ's attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, AZ is likely to secure a victory, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include AZ's offensive strength and possession control. Groningen's chances hinge on effective counter-attacks and defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: AZ 2-0 Groningen Half Time Score Prediction: AZ 1-0 Groningen Probability for Both Teams to Score: 40% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%