MATCH OVERVIEW
Excelsior and PEC Zwolle are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Dutch Eredivisie. With both teams striving to enhance their league positions, this match holds significant importance in the current season. Scheduled to kick off at 17:45 GMT on December 20, 2025, at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, fans can expect a competitive showdown.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle. Excelsior is slightly favored with odds of 2.16, indicating a 46.3% probability of a home win. PEC Zwolle's odds stand at 2.81, translating to a 35.6% chance of an away victory. The draw is priced at 3.45, offering a 28.9% likelihood. Based on these odds, Excelsior has a marginal edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Excelsior
- Current Form: Excelsior has played 15 matches this season, with a mixed record.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is highlighted by a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and a 53.33% both teams to score rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1.73 goals conceded per match.
- Tactics: Excelsior tends to focus on possession-based play, averaging 46.07% possession.
PEC Zwolle
- Current Form: PEC Zwolle has also played 15 matches, showing a slightly better offensive output.
- Strengths: They boast a 66.67% over 2.5 goals rate and a 60% both teams to score rate.
- Weaknesses: Their defense is porous, conceding 2.4 goals per match.
- Tactics: PEC Zwolle relies on quick counter-attacks, with a lower possession rate of 42.8%.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Excelsior
- Noah Naujoks: With 4 goals this season, Naujoks is a key offensive threat.
- Stijn van Gassel: His defensive contributions are crucial, with 342.03 points.
PEC Zwolle
- Koen Kostons: Leading the scoring charts with 7 goals, Kostons is vital for Zwolle's attack.
- Tom de Graaff: His defensive prowess is notable, accumulating 204.4 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Excelsior averages 0.93 goals per match, while PEC Zwolle scores 1.27.
- Defensive Metrics: Excelsior concedes 1.73 goals per match, compared to Zwolle's 2.4.
- Possession and Passing: Excelsior averages 362.2 passes per match, slightly higher than Zwolle's 350.13.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Excelsior has a slight advantage due to their home ground and marginally better odds. However, PEC Zwolle's offensive capabilities cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as Excelsior's possession play and Zwolle's counter-attacking strategy will be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Excelsior 2-2 PEC Zwolle Half Time Score Prediction: Excelsior 1-1 PEC Zwolle Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
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