Match Overview
Heracles and PEC Zwolle face off in a pivotal Eredivisie match that could shape their respective seasons. Heracles, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage against a PEC Zwolle side that has shown resilience on the road. With both teams sitting in the mid-table, a win here could propel them closer to the top half, making this a must-watch fixture.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are set at 2.29 for a Heracles win, 3.3 for a draw, and 3.11 for a PEC Zwolle victory. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Heracles slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Heracles win stands at approximately 43.7%, while a draw is at 30.3%, and a PEC Zwolle win at 32.1%. Given these odds, a narrow victory for Heracles seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Heracles
- Current Form: Heracles has shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1.22 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.52%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 15.04 successful dribbles per match and effective in duels with a 99.74 success rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding 1.87 goals per match and an expected goals against of 2.01.
PEC Zwolle
- Current Form: PEC Zwolle has been competitive, averaging 1.17 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 49.04%.
- Strengths: Solid passing game with 369.57 successful passes per match and a strong defensive CompaScore of 411.18.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in offensive duels with a lower success rate compared to Heracles.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Heracles has had the upper hand in this fixture, but PEC Zwolle has managed to pull off surprises in recent encounters. The tactical battle will be crucial, with Heracles likely to focus on exploiting their dribbling and duel strengths, while PEC Zwolle will aim to control the game through their passing.
Key Players Spotlight
Heracles
- Luka Kulenovic: Top scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Heracles' attacking play.
- Mats Rots: Key defensive player with a high CompaScore rating.
PEC Zwolle
- Dylan Vente: Leading the attack with 10 goals, a constant threat to Heracles' defense.
- Jasper Schendelaar: Vital in goal, with a high points tally this season.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Heracles averages 10.87 shots per match, with 3.83 on target, while PEC Zwolle averages 9.35 shots with 3.22 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Heracles concedes 1.87 goals per match, whereas PEC Zwolle concedes 1.52, indicating a slight defensive edge for Zwolle.
- Possession and Passing: PEC Zwolle's superior possession and passing accuracy could be pivotal in controlling the match tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Heracles is slightly favored to win, especially with home advantage. Key factors will include Heracles' ability to capitalize on their dribbling and duel strengths, while PEC Zwolle will need to leverage their passing game to disrupt Heracles' rhythm. Expect a closely fought match with Heracles edging out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Heracles 2-1 PEC Zwolle Half Time Score Prediction: Heracles 1-0 PEC Zwolle Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 52%