MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Dutch Eredivisie match between NEC and NAC Breda is poised to be a crucial fixture in the league calendar. Both teams are looking to improve their standings as the season nears its end. NEC, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the Goffertstadion to gain an advantage over NAC Breda.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with NEC slightly favored at 2.05 to win. The odds for a draw stand at 2.92, while NAC Breda's chances are pegged at 2.86. This indicates a competitive match where both teams have a realistic chance of securing a victory.
- Home win probability: 48.78%
- Draw probability: 34.25%
- Away win probability: 34.97%
Given these odds, NEC's home advantage might play a pivotal role, but NAC Breda's resilience cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
NEC
NEC has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.39 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.42%. Their ability to score is complemented by a solid defense, conceding 1.45 goals per game. NEC's offensive play is characterized by 11.68 shots per match, with 4.16 on target.
NAC Breda
NAC Breda, on the other hand, has struggled with possession, averaging 43.09%. Their goal-scoring rate stands at 1.03 per match, with a higher concession rate of 1.69 goals. Despite these challenges, NAC Breda's defense has been effective in interceptions, averaging 41.88 per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, NEC has had the upper hand in encounters with NAC Breda, often utilizing their home advantage effectively. However, NAC Breda's recent form suggests they could pose a significant threat.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
NEC
- Vito van Crooij: Leading the goal-scoring chart for NEC with 9 goals, van Crooij's offensive prowess will be crucial.
- Calvin Verdonk: With 236.47 points, Verdonk's defensive capabilities are vital for NEC's stability.
NAC Breda
- Leo Sauer: A key player with 7 goals, Sauer's attacking skills will be essential for NAC Breda.
- Jan Van den Bergh: His defensive contributions, reflected in 212.5 points, are critical for NAC Breda's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- NEC averages 1.42 expected goals per match, indicating a strong attacking potential.
- NAC Breda's expected goals stand at 1.19, showcasing their ability to create scoring opportunities.
Defensive Metrics
- NEC's expected goals against is 1.33, highlighting their defensive solidity.
- NAC Breda's expected goals against is higher at 1.82, suggesting vulnerabilities in their defense.
Possession and Passing
- NEC's passing accuracy is impressive, with 345.29 successful passes per match.
- NAC Breda's passing game is less effective, averaging 295.38 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, NEC is likely to capitalize on their home advantage and superior statistics to edge out NAC Breda. Key factors such as NEC's higher expected goals and better defensive metrics could be decisive.
- Final Score Prediction: NEC 2-1 NAC Breda
- Half Time Score Prediction: NEC 1-0 NAC Breda
NEC's ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities will be crucial in securing a victory. However, NAC Breda's potential to disrupt NEC's rhythm should not be overlooked, making this a potentially tight contest.