MATCH OVERVIEW
NEC Nijmegen will face FC Utrecht in a highly anticipated Eredivisie match at the Goffertstadion. Scheduled for February 11, 2026, at 20:00, this game is pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. NEC, currently showcasing a strong offensive form, will aim to leverage their home ground advantage, while Utrecht will be determined to challenge their hosts and secure a win.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are set at 2.07 for a home win, 3.53 for a draw, and 3.05 for an away win. These odds suggest a slight edge for NEC, reflecting their home advantage and current form. The probability of NEC winning is approximately 48.3%, while Utrecht's chances stand at 32.8%, and a draw is at 28.3%. Based on these odds, NEC is favored to win, but Utrecht's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
NEC
NEC has been impressive this season, with an average of 2.58 goals per match and a high over 2.5 goals percentage of 84.21%. Their attacking strength is evident, supported by a possession rate of 56.89% and an expected goals (xG) of 1.94 per game. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.74 goals per match.
Utrecht
Utrecht, on the other hand, has a more balanced approach with an average of 1.53 goals per game and a possession rate of 47.37%. Their defensive record is slightly better than NEC's, with 1.37 goals conceded per match. Utrecht's expected goals against (xGA) is 1.42, indicating a solid defensive setup.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, NEC and Utrecht have shown competitive performances, with NEC often having the upper hand at home. This historical advantage could play a crucial role in the upcoming match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
NEC
- Koki Ogawa and Kento Shiogai are key goal scorers for NEC, each netting 7 goals this season. Their ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for NEC's success.
- Ahmetcan Kaplan has been a standout performer with 229.92 points, contributing significantly to NEC's overall play.
Utrecht
- Victor Jensen is Utrecht's top scorer with 5 goals, and his performance will be vital in breaking down NEC's defense.
- Souffian El Karouani has been a key player for Utrecht, amassing 270.94 points, showcasing his influence on the pitch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: NEC averages 14.37 shots per game with 6.26 on target, while Utrecht averages 13.95 shots with 4.95 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: NEC's defense faces challenges with 1.74 goals conceded per match, whereas Utrecht concedes 1.37 goals on average.
- Possession and Passing: NEC's possession rate of 56.89% and successful passes of 340.05 per game highlight their control, compared to Utrecht's 47.37% possession and 337.68 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, NEC is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. However, Utrecht's solid defense and ability to counter-attack could pose a threat. The key to NEC's victory will be their ability to convert chances, while Utrecht will rely on their defensive resilience and quick transitions.
Final Score Prediction: NEC 2-1 Utrecht Half Time Score Prediction: NEC 1-0 Utrecht Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 75%
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