MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Dutch Eredivisie match between NEC and Willem II is poised to be a significant fixture in the current season. NEC, playing at home, will be keen to capitalize on their position in the league standings, while Willem II is desperate to avoid relegation. The match will take place at the Goffertstadion, with kick-off at 14:30 local time.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for NEC, with odds of 1.69 for a home win, translating to a probability of approximately 59.17%. The odds for a draw stand at 3.8, indicating a 26.32% chance, while Willem II's odds of 4.44 suggest a 22.52% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, NEC is expected to have the upper hand, but Willem II's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
NEC
NEC has shown a consistent form this season, with an average of 1.45 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.31%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 11.72 shots per game, with 4.28 on target. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.48 goals per match.
Willem II
Willem II has struggled offensively, averaging just 1.03 goals per match. Their possession rate of 43.66% indicates a tendency to play defensively. Despite this, they have managed to maintain a competitive edge in duels, with an average of 195.03 per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, NEC has had the upper hand in encounters with Willem II, often leveraging their home advantage. This trend is likely to continue, given their current form and statistical superiority.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
NEC
- Vito van Crooij: With 9 goals this season, van Crooij is a key offensive asset for NEC.
- Calvin Verdonk: Leading in points, Verdonk's defensive prowess will be crucial.
Willem II
- Jesse Bosch: Bosch has been a standout performer, contributing 5 goals.
- Thomas Didillon-Hödl: His defensive skills will be vital in countering NEC's attacks.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- NEC averages 1.45 goals per match, while Willem II manages 1.03.
- NEC's shots on target average is 4.28 compared to Willem II's 2.97.
Defensive Metrics
- NEC concedes 1.48 goals per match, slightly better than Willem II's 1.69.
- Willem II's goalkeeper saves average is higher at 4.03, indicating a more active defense.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, NEC is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors such as home advantage and player form suggest NEC will secure a victory. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of NEC, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 48.28%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 58.62%.