PEC Zwolle vs AZ - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

PEC Zwolle and AZ are set to face off in a crucial Eredivisie match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings this season. The match will take place at the MAC³PARK Stadion, with kickoff scheduled for 17:45 GMT on January 17, 2026. PEC Zwolle, currently striving to improve their league position, will be eager to leverage their home advantage against a strong AZ team.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match suggest a challenging game for PEC Zwolle, with odds of 4.29 for a home win, 3.8 for a draw, and 1.64 for an AZ victory. These odds translate to a 23.3% probability for a PEC Zwolle win, a 26.3% chance of a draw, and a 60.9% likelihood of an AZ win. Based on these figures, AZ is the clear favorite, but PEC Zwolle's home advantage could play a crucial role.

TEAM ANALYSIS

PEC Zwolle has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.24 goals per match and a possession rate of 42.94%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 2.24 goals per game. In contrast, AZ has been more consistent, scoring 1.94 goals per match and maintaining a higher possession rate of 54.63%. AZ's offensive prowess is further highlighted by their 75% over 2.5 goals percentage.

Head-to-head, AZ has historically had the upper hand, but PEC Zwolle will be looking to capitalize on any tactical weaknesses. PEC Zwolle's reliance on counter-attacks and set-pieces could be pivotal against AZ's possession-based approach.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons has been a standout performer with 8 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial. Meanwhile, AZ's Troy Parrott, with 9 goals, will be a key threat. The midfield battle between PEC Zwolle's Ryan Thomas and AZ's Sven Mijnans could also be decisive in determining the flow of the game.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

• PEC Zwolle averages 8.24 shots per game, with 2.88 on target.
• AZ averages 15.56 shots per game, with 6 on target.
• PEC Zwolle's expected goals (xG) is 1, while AZ's is 2.05.
• AZ's defensive solidity is reflected in their lower expected goals against (xGA) of 1.47 compared to PEC Zwolle's 1.87.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Given the statistical insights and current form, AZ is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. PEC Zwolle's best chance lies in exploiting set-pieces and counter-attacks. The match-winning factors will include AZ's ability to convert chances and PEC Zwolle's defensive resilience.

Final Score Prediction: PEC Zwolle 1-3 AZ Half Time Score Prediction: PEC Zwolle 0-1 AZ Probability for Both Teams to Score: 58.82% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 64.71%

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