Match Overview
Cracovia Kraków and Radomiak Radom face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that could significantly impact their standings. Cracovia, playing at home, will look to leverage their home advantage to secure vital points. Meanwhile, Radomiak Radom aims to upset the hosts and climb the league table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are 1.92 for a Cracovia win, 3.22 for a draw, and 3.82 for a Radomiak victory. These odds suggest a 52.08% probability for a Cracovia win, a 31.06% chance for a draw, and a 26.18% likelihood for Radomiak to win. The odds favor Cracovia, indicating they are expected to capitalize on their home advantage.
Team Analysis
Cracovia Kraków
- Current Form: Cracovia has shown a balanced performance with an average of 1.78 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 1.39 goals per game.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage (73.91%) and effective dribbling (15.83 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession rate (45.61%) and vulnerability in their own half (6.48 dangerous losses).
Radomiak Radom
- Current Form: Radomiak averages 1.3 goals per match and concedes 1.61, indicating a slightly weaker defense.
- Strengths: Higher possession (48.48%) and effective dueling (99.17 successful duels per match).
- Weaknesses: Higher number of yellow cards (2.61 per match) and slightly lower offensive output.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Cracovia has had the upper hand in this fixture, often utilizing their home advantage effectively. Radomiak will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
Tactical Approaches
Cracovia is likely to focus on exploiting their dribbling and attacking prowess, while Radomiak may aim to control possession and capitalize on set-pieces.
Key Players Spotlight
- Cracovia Kraków: Benjamin Källman, with 12 goals, is a key offensive threat. Mikkel Maigaard also contributes significantly with 5 goals.
- Radomiak Radom: Leonardo Rocha, with 11 goals, is crucial for Radomiak's attacking efforts. Jan Grzesik provides additional support with 5 goals.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Cracovia averages 12.35 shots per match, with 4.3 on target, while Radomiak averages 12.87 shots, with 4 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Cracovia's defense is slightly more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a higher interception rate (46.22).
- Possession and Passing: Radomiak holds a slight edge in possession and passing accuracy, which could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Cracovia Kraków is favored to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities. Key factors include Källman's goal-scoring form and Cracovia's effective dribbling. Radomiak's chances hinge on Rocha's performance and their ability to maintain possession.
Final Score Prediction: Cracovia Kraków 2-1 Radomiak Radom Half Time Score Prediction: Cracovia Kraków 1-0 Radomiak Radom Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%