Match Overview
Lechia Gdańsk and Jagiellonia Białystok face off in a pivotal Ekstraklasa match that holds significant implications for both teams. As the season progresses, every point becomes crucial, and this fixture could be a turning point in their campaigns. The match will take place at the Stadion Energa Gdańsk, providing a home advantage for Lechia.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Jagiellonia Białystok slightly favored to win at 2.14, compared to Lechia Gdańsk's 3.04. The draw is priced at 3.52, indicating a closely contested game. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Home Win: 32.89%
- Draw: 28.41%
- Away Win: 46.73%
Given these odds, Jagiellonia Białystok is expected to have the upper hand, but Lechia's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Lechia Gdańsk
Lechia Gdańsk has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.04 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.32%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.76 goals per game. However, they have shown resilience with a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 64%.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok boasts a stronger offensive record, averaging 1.88 goals per match and maintaining 53.2% possession. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Their ability to control the game through successful passes (383.88) could be a decisive factor.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Jagiellonia Białystok has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outperforming Lechia Gdańsk. Their tactical approach, focusing on possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Lechia's defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Players Spotlight
Lechia Gdańsk
- Tomas Bobcek: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Lechia's attacking play.
- Camilo Mena: A key playmaker with 149.49 points, instrumental in creating chances.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Jesús Imaz: Top scorer with 14 goals, a constant threat to any defense.
- Slawomir Abramowicz: Vital in midfield, contributing significantly to their passing game.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Lechia Gdańsk: 11.32 shots per game, 3.84 on target.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: 12.08 shots per game, 4.52 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Lechia Gdańsk: 42.24 interceptions, 6.04 clearances.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: 40.4 interceptions, 5.04 clearances.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Jagiellonia Białystok is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Lechia Gdańsk's home advantage and fighting spirit could lead to a competitive match, but Jagiellonia's superior form and statistics suggest they might edge out a victory.
Final Score Prediction
Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 1 Lechia Gdańsk
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Jagiellonia's offensive prowess and possession control.
- Lechia's ability to capitalize on home advantage and set pieces.