MATCH OVERVIEW
Motor Lublin and Cracovia Kraków are gearing up for an exciting Ekstraklasa showdown. This match holds substantial importance as both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league standings. Motor Lublin, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiar surroundings to gain an advantage over Cracovia Kraków. The match is set to kick off at 15:30 on April 26, 2025, at Motor Lublin's stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle. Motor Lublin is slightly favored with odds of 2.25, indicating a 44.4% probability of winning. Cracovia Kraków's odds stand at 2.72, translating to a 36.8% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.3, offering a 30.3% probability. These odds reflect the competitive nature of both teams, with Motor Lublin having a slight edge due to home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Motor Lublin has shown a mixed form this season, with a possession rate of 48.1% and an average of 1.48 goals per match. Their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding 1.69 goals per game. Cracovia Kraków, on the other hand, boasts a slightly better goal-scoring record with 1.76 goals per match and a possession rate of 46%. Both teams have similar defensive statistics, but Cracovia's higher Both Teams To Score percentage (79.31%) suggests they are more likely to be involved in high-scoring games.
Head-to-head, Motor Lublin and Cracovia Kraków have had competitive encounters, with neither team dominating the other. Motor Lublin's tactical approach often involves leveraging their dribbling skills, averaging 20.97 dribbles per game, while Cracovia focuses on duels, averaging 203.24 per match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Motor Lublin's Samuel Mraz has been a standout performer, scoring 13 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Cracovia's defense. For Cracovia Kraków, Benjamin Källman has been exceptional, netting 17 goals. The matchup between Mraz and Källman could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.
Other key players include Motor Lublin's Ivan Brkic, who has accumulated 154.85 points, and Cracovia's Mikkel Maigaard, with 162.72 points. Their contributions in midfield and defense will be vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Motor Lublin's offensive metrics show an average of 11.97 shots per game, with 4.14 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.65, indicating potential for scoring. Defensively, they average 41.14 interceptions and 4.9 clearances per match.
Cracovia Kraków's offensive prowess is highlighted by their 12.1 shots per game and 4.14 on target. Their expected goals are slightly lower at 1.41, but their defensive metrics, including 43.97 interceptions and 6.14 clearances, suggest a robust backline.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Motor Lublin's home advantage and Cracovia Kraków's goal-scoring ability make this a challenging match to predict. However, Motor Lublin's slightly better odds and home ground familiarity could give them the edge. Key factors will include the performance of Samuel Mraz and Benjamin Källman.
Final Score Prediction: Motor Lublin 2-2 Cracovia Kraków Half Time Score Prediction: Motor Lublin 1-1 Cracovia Kraków Probability for Both Teams to Score: 70% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%