MATCH OVERVIEW
Motor Lublin and Legia Warszawa are set to face off in a highly anticipated Ekstraklasa match. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, and this clash at Arena Lublin could have a significant impact on the league standings. Scheduled for December 1, 2025, at 18:00, this match is expected to draw considerable attention from fans and analysts alike.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Legia Warszawa slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win: 3.16
- Draw: 3.43
- Away Win: 2.03
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 31.6% for a Motor Lublin victory, 29.2% for a draw, and 49.3% for a Legia Warszawa win. Given Legia's stronger form and higher league position, they are expected to edge out Motor Lublin.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin has shown resilience this season, with a balanced possession rate of 50.73% and an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 11.87 shots per game, though they need to improve their accuracy with only 3.87 shots on target. Defensively, they concede 1.67 goals per match, which could be a concern against Legia's attacking prowess.
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa boasts a higher possession rate of 56.93% and averages 1.2 goals per match. Their defense is relatively solid, conceding only 1.13 goals per game. Legia's ability to control the game is evident in their passing statistics, with 476.13 passes per match and a high success rate. Their offensive threat is further emphasized by their 15.8 shots per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Legia Warszawa has had the upper hand in encounters with Motor Lublin, often dominating possession and creating more goal-scoring opportunities. This trend is likely to continue given their current form.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Motor Lublin
- Karol Czubak: With 8 goals this season, Czubak is Motor Lublin's main attacking threat.
- Ivo Rodrigues: A key playmaker with 150.87 points, Rodrigues can influence the game with his vision and passing.
Legia Warszawa
- Bartosz Kapustka: Leading Legia's charge with 164.94 points, Kapustka's creativity and skill are crucial.
- Pawel Wszolek: With 2 goals and 154.58 points, Wszolek's versatility adds depth to Legia's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Motor Lublin: Average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.5, indicating potential to score, but their Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 1.54 suggests defensive vulnerabilities.
- Legia Warszawa: Higher xG of 1.73 and lower xGA of 1.15, showcasing a balanced approach.
Possession and Passing
- Motor Lublin: 399.27 passes per match with a success rate of 332.2.
- Legia Warszawa: Superior passing with 476.13 passes and 397.8 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Legia Warszawa is favored to win this match due to their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their higher possession rate, better defensive record, and more effective passing game.
Final Score Prediction
Legia Warszawa is likely to secure a victory with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. Motor Lublin's home advantage and attacking threats could see them score, but Legia's overall strength should prevail.
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