MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Puszcza Niepołomice and Piast Gliwice is set to be a crucial fixture in the Polish league. As the season progresses, both teams are eager to secure vital points that could influence their standings. The match will take place at Puszcza Niepołomice's home ground, providing them with a slight advantage. Scheduled for March 16, 2025, at 11:15 AM, this encounter is expected to draw significant attention from fans and analysts.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Piast Gliwice slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows: Home win at 3.34, Draw at 3.05, and Away win at 2.18. This translates to a probability of approximately 29.9% for a home win, 32.8% for a draw, and 45.9% for an away win. Given these odds, Piast Gliwice is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw remains substantial.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Puszcza Niepołomice
Puszcza Niepołomice has shown resilience this season, with an average of 204.54 duels per match and a possession rate of 40.71%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 0.92 goals per game and 9.29 shots, with a notable expected goals figure of 1.23. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.42 goals on average.
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice, on the other hand, boasts a stronger possession rate of 47.54% and averages 1.04 goals per match. Their passing game is more refined, with 412.5 passes per game, indicating a strategic approach. Defensively, they have been more solid, conceding only 1 goal per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Piast Gliwice has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, often leveraging their tactical superiority and stronger squad depth.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Puszcza Niepołomice
- Michalis Kosidis: Leading goal scorer with 7 goals.
- Artur Craciun: Key defensive player with 145.8 points.
Piast Gliwice
- Jorge Félix: Top scorer with 7 goals.
- Erik Jirka: High performer with 204.51 points.
The matchup between Kosidis and Félix will be crucial, as both players are pivotal to their team's attacking strategies.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Puszcza Niepołomice: 9.29 shots per game, 3.08 on target.
- Piast Gliwice: 11.46 shots per game, 3.83 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Puszcza Niepołomice: 1.42 goals conceded per game.
- Piast Gliwice: 1 goal conceded per game.
Piast Gliwice's superior passing and possession stats give them a statistical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Piast Gliwice is likely to emerge victorious, given their stronger possession and defensive record. Key factors include their ability to control the game through effective passing and their solid defensive setup. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Piast Gliwice, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 41.67%, and the chance of over 2.5 goals is 33.33%.