MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Śląsk Wrocław and Jagiellonia Białystok is set to be a pivotal encounter in the Polish top-flight league. As the season draws to a close, both teams are eager to secure vital points that could influence their final positions. Śląsk Wrocław, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stadion Miejski, while Jagiellonia Białystok aims to capitalize on their strong away form.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Jagiellonia Białystok slightly favored at 2.14 compared to Śląsk Wrocław's 2.98. The draw is priced at 3.52, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 33.6% for a home win, 28.4% for a draw, and 46.7% for an away victory. Jagiellonia's higher probability reflects their superior form and offensive capabilities this season.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Śląsk Wrocław
Śląsk Wrocław has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.13 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.47%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.59 goals per game. Key strengths include their dribbling success rate of 76.3% and their ability to win duels, with a success rate of 47.9%. However, their passing accuracy and offensive output need improvement.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok boasts a stronger offensive record, averaging 1.69 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 53.31%. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1.25 goals per game. Jagiellonia's passing accuracy and key passes are superior, making them a formidable opponent. Their ability to control the game through possession and effective passing is a significant advantage.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Jagiellonia Białystok has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often outscoring Śląsk Wrocław. This trend, coupled with their current form, suggests they might continue their dominance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Śląsk Wrocław
- Assad Al-Hamlawi: With 6 goals this season, Al-Hamlawi is a crucial player for Śląsk's attacking lineup.
- Petr Schwarz: Contributing 4 goals, Schwarz's midfield presence is vital for both defense and attack.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Jesús Imaz: Leading the scoring charts with 15 goals, Imaz is a key threat to Śląsk's defense.
- Afimico Pululu: With 10 goals, Pululu complements Imaz in Jagiellonia's potent attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Śląsk Wrocław: Average shots per game stand at 12.88, with 3.94 on target. Their expected goals (xG) is 1.41, indicating potential underperformance.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: Averaging 12.72 shots per game, with 4.31 on target, their xG of 1.7 aligns closely with actual performance.
Possession and Passing
- Śląsk Wrocław: Average passes per game are 363.31, with a success rate of 81%.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: Superior passing with 447.03 passes per game and an 84% success rate.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Jagiellonia Białystok is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities through effective passing. Śląsk Wrocław will need to capitalize on home advantage and improve their defensive organization to counter Jagiellonia's threats.
Final Score Prediction
Jagiellonia Białystok 2 - 1 Śląsk Wrocław
Half Time Score Prediction
Jagiellonia Białystok 1 - 0 Śląsk Wrocław
Both Teams to Score Probability
65%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
60%