MATCH OVERVIEW
Casa Pia AC and Alverca are gearing up for an exciting clash in the Primeira Liga. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and secure a better position. Casa Pia AC, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estádio Pina Manique to gain an advantage over Alverca.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Casa Pia AC having a slight edge at 2.44, while Alverca is not far behind at 2.93. The draw is priced at 3.00, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing points. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 40.98% for Casa Pia AC to win, 33.33% for a draw, and 34.13% for Alverca to win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Casa Pia AC has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 10 matches played. They have a 50% success rate in matches with over 2.5 goals and a 40% rate for both teams scoring. Their possession stands at 47.7%, with an average of 1.1 goals per match. Defensively, they concede 2.2 goals on average, which could be a concern against Alverca.
Alverca, on the other hand, has played 11 matches with a higher percentage of games featuring over 2.5 goals (63.64%) and both teams scoring (54.55%). Their possession is slightly lower at 44.45%, but they have a similar goal-scoring rate of 1.09 goals per match. Alverca's defense is slightly better, conceding 1.73 goals on average.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Casa Pia AC's Jérémy Livolant has been a standout performer with 3 goals this season, supported by Cassiano and Korede Osundina. Alverca's Marko Milovanovic matches Livolant's goal tally, with Sandro Lima and Gonçalo Esteves also contributing to the score sheet. The matchup between Livolant and Milovanovic could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Casa Pia AC's offensive metrics show an average of 8.8 shots per game, with 3 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.01, while defensively, they face 1.73 expected goals against. Alverca's offensive stats are similar, with 8.18 shots per game and 3.36 on target, and an expected goals figure of 1.02.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the statistical data and current form, this match is likely to be closely contested. Casa Pia AC's home advantage and slightly better odds give them a marginal edge. However, Alverca's ability to score and their defensive resilience could lead to a draw. The final score prediction is 1-1, with both teams likely to score and a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
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