MATCH OVERVIEW
Casa Pia AC will face off against Porto in a Primeira Liga showdown that promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for February 2, 2026, at 20:45, this match holds significant weight in the current season as both teams vie for crucial points. Casa Pia will have the home advantage, but Porto's impressive form makes them a tough opponent.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Porto, with odds of 1.26 for an away win, indicating a high probability of victory for the visitors. Casa Pia's odds stand at 11.06, reflecting their underdog status, while a draw is priced at 5.2. The probabilities suggest a 79% chance of a Porto win, a 9% chance for Casa Pia, and a 12% likelihood of a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Casa Pia AC has had a mixed season, with an average of 19 matches played, scoring 1.05 goals per game and conceding 2. Their possession rate is 46.37%, and they have a defensive rating of 359.93. Porto, on the other hand, boasts a stronger record with 2.11 goals per game and a mere 0.21 goals conceded on average. Their possession is significantly higher at 57.84%, and they have a defensive rating of 473.81.
In head-to-head encounters, Porto has historically dominated, and their tactical approach, focusing on high possession and solid defense, is expected to challenge Casa Pia's strategies.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Casa Pia, Jérémy Livolant, with 3 goals this season, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. David Sousa and Gaizka Larrazabal, both with 2 goals, will also be key figures. Porto's Samu Aghehowa, with an impressive 13 goals, is the player to watch, supported by William Gomes and Borja Sainz, each contributing 5 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Porto's offensive metrics are superior, with 13.47 shots per game and 5.58 on target, compared to Casa Pia's 7.74 shots and 2.84 on target. Defensively, Porto's expected goals against is 0.66, significantly lower than Casa Pia's 1.73, highlighting Porto's defensive prowess.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Porto is expected to dominate this match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Key factors include Porto's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The final score prediction is a 3-0 victory for Porto, with a half-time score of 1-0. The probability of both teams scoring is low, at 21%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high, at 53%.
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