MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Famalicão is poised to be a captivating battle. Scheduled for November 1st, 2025, at 15:30, this fixture will take place at the Estádio da Madeira, where Nacional will aim to secure a vital home victory. Both teams are striving to improve their league positions, adding extra importance to this encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Famalicão slightly favored at 2.05, compared to Nacional's 3.07. The draw is priced at 3.51, indicating a balanced contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 32.6% for a Nacional win, 28.5% for a draw, and 48.9% for a Famalicão victory. Given Famalicão's recent form, they are expected to edge out Nacional, but the home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Nacional
Nacional has had a mixed season, averaging 1.13 goals per match and conceding 1.5. Their possession stands at 44.75%, indicating a need to control the game better. With a 37.5% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, they have shown some attacking prowess but need to tighten their defense.
Famalicão
Famalicão boasts a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per match. Their possession rate of 49.5% and higher passing accuracy suggest a more controlled style of play. With a 25% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, they focus on solid defense and efficient attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Famalicão has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could influence their confidence going into this match. Nacional will need to break this trend to secure a win.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Nacional
- Jesús Ramírez: With 6 goals this season, Ramírez is Nacional's key attacking threat.
- José Gomes: Leading in points, Gomes is crucial in midfield.
Famalicão
- Lazar Carević: Top performer with 291.74 points, Carević is vital in defense.
- Gustavo Sá: With 2 goals, Sá adds attacking depth.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Nacional: Average 10.63 shots per game, with 3.5 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.21.
- Famalicão: Average 12 shots per game, with 3.5 on target. Their expected goals are slightly higher at 1.3.
Possession and Passing
- Nacional: 288.38 passes per game with a success rate of 76%.
- Famalicão: 366.13 passes per game with a success rate of 80.5%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Famalicão is likely to win, given their superior defensive record and recent form. However, Nacional's home advantage and key players like Ramírez could make a difference. The match-winning factors will include Famalicão's ability to maintain possession and Nacional's need to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: Famalicão 2-1 Nacional Half Time Score Prediction: Famalicão 1-0 Nacional Probability of Both Teams to Score: 55% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 45%
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