MATCH OVERVIEW
Aberdeen and Hearts are set to face off in a crucial Scottish Premiership match at Pittodrie Stadium. Scheduled for November 23, 2025, at 3:00 PM GMT, this fixture holds significant importance for both teams as they strive to climb the league table. Hearts, with a stronger offensive record, will be looking to extend their lead, while Aberdeen hopes to turn their season around with a home victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Hearts as the favorites with odds of 1.89, indicating a 52.9% probability of an away win. Aberdeen's odds of 3.65 reflect a 27.4% chance of a home victory, while the draw is priced at 3.53, giving it a 28.3% probability. Based on these odds, Hearts are expected to have the upper hand, but Aberdeen's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Aberdeen
Aberdeen's season has been challenging, with an average of 11 matches played and a low goal-scoring rate of 0.73 per game. Their possession stands at 46.55%, and they have struggled to convert chances, as indicated by their Expected Goals (xG) of 1.29. Defensively, they concede 1.09 goals per match, which is slightly better than their xGA of 1.43.
Hearts
Hearts have been impressive this season, averaging 2.42 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 52.33%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by an xG of 1.85, and defensively, they concede only 0.83 goals per game. Hearts' ability to control the game through successful passes and key plays makes them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Aberdeen
- Jesper Karlsson: With 3 goals this season, Karlsson is a key player for Aberdeen.
- Dimitar Mitov: His defensive contributions are vital for Aberdeen's backline.
Hearts
- Lawrence Shankland: Leading the scoring charts with 7 goals, Shankland is Hearts' main attacking threat.
- Cláudio Braga: With 6 goals, Braga complements Shankland in the attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Aberdeen: Average shots per game stand at 10.91, with 3.36 on target. Their defensive rating is 355.77.
- Hearts: They average 14.25 shots per game, with 5.92 on target, and boast a defensive rating of 468.36.
Possession and Passing
- Aberdeen: Average possession of 46.55% and 389 passes per game.
- Hearts: Higher possession at 52.33% and 419.33 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hearts are likely to dominate the match with their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Aberdeen's home advantage could provide some resistance, but Hearts' form suggests they will secure a victory. Key factors include Hearts' goal-scoring ability and Aberdeen's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen Half Time Score Prediction: Hearts 1-0 Aberdeen Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
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