Match Overview
The upcoming Premiership match between Hibernian and Hearts is more than just a local derby; it's a pivotal moment in the season for both clubs. With Hibernian sitting slightly ahead in the league standings, a win could solidify their position, while Hearts will be eager to close the gap and assert their dominance.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Hibernian at 2.32, Draw at 3.24, and Hearts at 3.13. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Hibernian having a slight edge as the home team. The probability of a Hibernian win stands at approximately 43.1%, a draw at 30.9%, and a Hearts victory at 31.9%. Given these odds, a narrow win for Hibernian seems the most likely outcome, but a draw is also a strong possibility.
Team Analysis
Hibernian
- Current Form: Hibernian has shown a consistent performance this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.14%.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is bolstered by a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 64.29% and a solid Expected Goals (xG) of 1.51.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with an average of 1.39 goals conceded per match.
Hearts
- Current Form: Hearts have maintained a competitive edge with an average of 1.43 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 53.36%.
- Strengths: Their passing game is strong, with an average of 442.43 passes per match and a high CompaScore Passes Rating of 454.85.
- Weaknesses: Similar to Hibernian, Hearts also concede an average of 1.36 goals per match, indicating potential defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Hibernian and Hearts have been tightly contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. The tactical approach from both sides often emphasizes midfield control and quick transitions.
Key Players Spotlight
Hibernian
- Martin Boyle: Leading the scoring charts for Hibernian with 7 goals, Boyle's pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat.
- Nicky Cadden: With 5 goals, Cadden's versatility adds depth to Hibernian's attacking options.
Hearts
- Elton Kabangu: A key performer with 5 goals, Kabangu's creativity and vision are crucial for Hearts' offensive play.
- Lawrence Shankland: Known for his clinical finishing, Shankland has netted 4 goals this season and will be pivotal in breaking down Hibernian's defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Hibernian averages 11 shots per match with 3.96 on target, while Hearts averages 11.89 shots with 4.29 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with Hibernian making 8.07 clearances per match compared to Hearts' 7.04.
- Passing and Possession: Hearts' superior passing accuracy and possession could give them an edge in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Hibernian is slightly favored to win this encounter. Key factors such as home advantage and Martin Boyle's goal-scoring prowess could tip the scales in their favor. However, Hearts' strong passing game and potential for quick counter-attacks make them formidable opponents.
Final Score Prediction: Hibernian 2-1 Hearts Half Time Score Prediction: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts Both Teams to Score Probability: 62% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58%