MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Hibernian are set to face off in a pivotal Scottish Premiership match that could have significant implications for their respective seasons. St. Mirren, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Hibernian aims to capitalize on their slightly better form and odds to claim victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Hibernian slightly favored at 2.25 compared to St. Mirren's 2.63. The draw is priced at 2.84, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing points. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest:
- Home Win: 37.9%
- Draw: 35.2%
- Away Win: 44.4% Given these odds, Hibernian is expected to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
St. Mirren has had a mixed season, with a notable ability to score goals, averaging 1.39 per match. Their defense, however, has been less reliable, conceding 1.56 goals per game. With a possession rate of 44.14%, they often rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces to create scoring opportunities.
Hibernian
Hibernian boasts a slightly better offensive record, scoring 1.61 goals per match. Their defense is more robust, conceding only 1.28 goals per game. With a possession rate of 46.06%, Hibernian tends to control the game more effectively, utilizing their passing accuracy and key players to dominate play.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with Hibernian often having the upper hand. However, St. Mirren's home advantage could play a crucial role in this fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Toyosi Olusanya: With 8 goals this season, Olusanya is a key attacking threat.
- Marcus Fraser: A defensive stalwart, Fraser's contributions are vital for St. Mirren's backline.
Hibernian
- Martin Boyle: Leading the scoring charts with 13 goals, Boyle is Hibernian's main offensive weapon.
- Nectarios Triantis: His defensive prowess will be crucial in keeping St. Mirren's attackers at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- St. Mirren averages 10.53 shots per game, with 4.03 on target.
- Hibernian averages 11.17 shots per game, also with 4.03 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- St. Mirren's defense faces 1.56 goals against per match.
- Hibernian's defense is slightly stronger, conceding 1.28 goals per match.
Possession and Passing
- St. Mirren's possession stands at 44.14%, with 290.64 passes per game.
- Hibernian controls 46.06% possession, completing 331.31 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data and current form, Hibernian appears to have a slight advantage going into this match. Their superior offensive capabilities and defensive solidity could be decisive factors. However, St. Mirren's home advantage and ability to score could make this a tightly contested game.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: St. Mirren 1-2 Hibernian
- Half Time: St. Mirren 0-1 Hibernian
Match-Winning Factors
- Hibernian's ability to control possession and create key chances.
- St. Mirren's potential to exploit set-pieces and counter-attacks.
In conclusion, while Hibernian is favored, St. Mirren's resilience and home support could lead to an exciting match with potential surprises.