MATCH OVERVIEW
Burgos and Real Valladolid are set to face off in a pivotal La Liga 2 match that could shape their season trajectories. Burgos, playing at home, will look to leverage their solid form and home advantage against a Real Valladolid side that has been impressive in their away performances. The match will be held at the Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, adding to the stakes of this encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match are quite balanced, with Burgos having a slight edge at 2.53, while Real Valladolid is close behind at 2.8. The draw is priced at 2.9, indicating a competitive match where all outcomes are possible. The probabilities suggest a tight contest, with Burgos having a 39.5% chance to win, Real Valladolid at 35.7%, and a draw at 34.8%. Given these odds, a closely fought match is expected, with Burgos slightly favored due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Burgos
Burgos has shown a consistent form this season, averaging 1.63 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 50.63%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 62.5% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 75% both teams to score percentage. Defensively, they concede 1.13 goals per match, supported by a solid interception rate of 40.75.
Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid, on the other hand, has a slightly better possession rate at 53.38% and averages 1.13 goals per match. Their defensive strength is evident with only 0.75 goals conceded per match. They have a lower over 2.5 goals percentage at 25%, indicating a more conservative approach.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with tactical battles likely to be a key feature.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Burgos
- Fer Niño: With 3 goals this season, Niño is a crucial player for Burgos, providing offensive firepower.
- Florian Miguel: His defensive contributions are vital, having accumulated 200.46 points this season.
Real Valladolid
- Juanmi Latasa: A key figure in attack, Latasa has scored 2 goals and is pivotal in breaking down defenses.
- Iván Alejo: His all-round performance, with 194.68 points, makes him a player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Burgos: Average 9.5 shots per match with 3.38 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
- Real Valladolid: Slightly more aggressive with 12.5 shots per match and 5.13 on target.
Possession and Passing
- Burgos: 411.5 passes per match with a success rate of 345.5.
- Real Valladolid: 375.5 passes per match, indicating a more direct style.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Burgos is slightly favored to win, but Real Valladolid's strong defensive record could lead to a draw. Key factors will include Burgos' ability to capitalize on home advantage and Real Valladolid's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Burgos 1-1 Real Valladolid
- Half Time: Burgos 0-0 Real Valladolid
The match is expected to be a tactical battle with both teams having the potential to score, but defenses likely to dominate. The probability for both teams to score is 56%, with a 48% chance for over 2.5 goals.
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