Match Overview
The clash between Cartagena and Burgos in La Liga 2 is set to be a pivotal moment in the season for both teams. With Cartagena struggling to climb the league table, a win at home could be a turning point. Meanwhile, Burgos aims to consolidate their position and push for promotion. The Estadio Municipal Cartagonova will host this exciting match, kicking off at 15:15.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a challenging game for Cartagena, with odds of 4.27 for a home win, 3.19 for a draw, and 1.88 for a Burgos victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 23.4% for Cartagena to win, 31.3% for a draw, and 53.2% for Burgos to emerge victorious. The odds favor Burgos, indicating their stronger form and higher chances of winning.
Team Analysis
Cartagena
- Current Form: Cartagena has struggled this season, with an average of 0.62 goals per match and a high concession rate of 1.86 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is commendable at 13.45 per match, and they maintain a solid interception rate of 40.38.
- Weaknesses: Cartagena's possession is low at 40.14%, and their expected goals against is concerning at 2.02.
Burgos
- Current Form: Burgos has shown better form, averaging 0.83 goals per match and conceding only 1.14.
- Strengths: They excel in possession with 50.34% and have a higher expected goals rate of 1.17.
- Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, Burgos has a lower rate of successful tackles at 2.9.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Burgos has had the upper hand in encounters with Cartagena, often leveraging their tactical discipline and superior passing game.
Tactical Approaches
Cartagena will likely focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, while Burgos may employ a possession-based strategy to control the game.
Key Players Spotlight
Cartagena
- Gastón Valles: With 3 goals this season, Valles is a key attacking threat.
- Luis Muñoz: Another crucial player with 3 goals, Muñoz's form will be vital.
Burgos
- Curro Sánchez: Leading the scoring charts with 6 goals, Sánchez is a player to watch.
- Álex Sancris: With 5 goals, Sancris adds depth to Burgos' attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Burgos leads with 10.41 shots per match compared to Cartagena's 7.69.
- Defensive Metrics: Cartagena's goalkeeper saves average at 4.45, indicating a busy defense.
- Possession and Passing: Burgos' superior passing accuracy and possession could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Burgos is favored to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their possession game and Curro Sánchez's goal-scoring prowess. Cartagena's chances hinge on defensive resilience and capitalizing on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction: Cartagena 1-2 Burgos Half Time Score Prediction: Cartagena 0-1 Burgos Both Teams to Score Probability: 44.83% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 51.72%