Match Overview
Cartagena and Eldense are gearing up for a pivotal clash in La Liga 2, with both teams looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. This match holds significant importance, as a win could propel either team closer to their seasonal objectives, whether it's avoiding relegation or pushing for promotion. The Estadio Municipal Cartagonova will host this exciting encounter, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on April 5, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Eldense slightly favored to win. The odds are as follows:
- Home Win (Cartagena): 3.83
- Draw: 2.91
- Away Win (Eldense): 1.86
These odds translate to probabilities of:
- Cartagena Win: 26.1%
- Draw: 34.4%
- Eldense Win: 53.8%
Given Eldense's stronger form and higher odds, they are expected to have the upper hand, but Cartagena's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Cartagena
Cartagena's season has been challenging, with an average of 0.69 goals per match and a possession rate of 40.19%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.84 goals per game. However, their dribbling success rate of 71.3% indicates potential in breaking through defenses.
Eldense
Eldense has shown better form, averaging 1.03 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 45.76%. Their defense is relatively solid, conceding 1.42 goals per game. Eldense's offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 11.27 shots per match, with a 33.1% accuracy rate.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Eldense has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on Cartagena's defensive lapses. Tactical adjustments will be crucial for Cartagena to counter Eldense's attacking prowess.
Key Players Spotlight
Cartagena
- Andy Rodríguez: Leading goal scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Cartagena's attacking strategy.
- Pablo Cuñat: Defensive stalwart, with 189.78 points, vital for maintaining defensive integrity.
Eldense
- Juanto Ortuño: Top scorer with 7 goals, a key threat to Cartagena's defense.
- Victor García: Versatile player with 139.52 points, instrumental in both attack and defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Cartagena: 7.78 shots per match, 2.81 on target.
- Eldense: 11.27 shots per match, 3.73 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Cartagena: 4.25 goalkeeper saves per match.
- Eldense: 2.79 goalkeeper saves per match.
Eldense's superior offensive metrics suggest they might dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Eldense is favored to win, given their stronger offensive and defensive statistics. Cartagena's home advantage and key players could influence the match, but Eldense's form suggests a likely victory.
Final Score Prediction
- Eldense 2 - 1 Cartagena
Match-Winning Factors
- Eldense's offensive strength and Cartagena's defensive vulnerabilities.
- Key player performances, particularly from Juanto Ortuño and Andy Rodríguez.
In conclusion, while Cartagena will aim to leverage their home advantage, Eldense's form and tactical superiority are expected to secure them the win.