MATCH OVERVIEW
Leganés and Almería are set to face off in a highly anticipated La Liga 2 match that could have significant implications for both teams' seasons. Leganés, playing at home, will look to leverage their defensive strengths against Almería's potent attack. The match will take place at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, with kickoff scheduled for 17:30 on November 22, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Leganés slightly favored at 2.3, while Almería's odds stand at 2.67, and a draw at 2.99. This indicates a competitive match where the home advantage might play a crucial role. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest a 43.5% chance for Leganés to win, a 33.5% chance for Almería, and a 33% chance for a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Leganés
Leganés has shown a solid defensive performance this season, conceding only 0.85 goals per match. Their possession rate of 51.31% and expected goals of 1.4 highlight their ability to control the game and create scoring opportunities. However, their goal-scoring rate of 0.92 per match indicates a need for improvement in finishing.
Almería
Almería boasts a strong offensive record, averaging 1.92 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 75%. Their possession rate of 52.42% and expected goals of 1.58 demonstrate their attacking prowess. However, their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.5 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Leganés and Almería have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of victories. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with tactical adjustments likely to play a key role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Leganés
- Marvel: Leading the team with 151.5 points, Marvel's defensive capabilities will be crucial.
- Duk: With 147.46 points and 2 goals, Duk's offensive contributions are vital.
Almería
- Adrián Embarba: Top scorer with 6 goals, Embarba's form is a significant threat.
- Sergio Arribas: With 5 goals and 218.36 points, Arribas is a key player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Leganés: Average 10.69 shots per match, with 4.31 on target. Their defensive rating of 344.57 highlights their strength in intercepting and clearing threats.
- Almería: Average 15.17 shots per match, with 5.67 on target. Their offensive rating of 622.02 underscores their attacking capabilities.
Possession and Passing
- Leganés: Average 383.92 passes per match, with a success rate of 318.38.
- Almería: Average 450.17 passes per match, with a success rate of 378.75.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, this match is likely to be a closely fought contest. Leganés' home advantage and defensive solidity could counter Almería's attacking threat. However, Almería's offensive prowess might edge them ahead if they capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Leganés 1 - 1 Almería
Match-Winning Factors
- Leganés' defensive organization and home support.
- Almería's attacking depth and goal-scoring form.
In conclusion, expect a competitive match with both teams having the potential to secure points. A draw seems the most probable outcome, reflecting the balanced nature of both squads.
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