Match Overview
The upcoming La Liga 2 match between Tenerife and Huesca is pivotal for both teams as they aim to climb the league standings. Tenerife, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Huesca, with a slightly better offensive record this season, will be keen to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Tenerife having a slight edge at 2.26, while a draw is priced at 2.69, and a Huesca win at 2.97. This translates to a probability of approximately 44.25% for a Tenerife victory, 37.17% for a draw, and 33.67% for a Huesca win. The odds indicate a tight match, with Tenerife being marginal favorites due to their home advantage.
Team Analysis
Tenerife
- Current Form: Tenerife has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.82 goals per match, but their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.5 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (210.36 per match) and interceptions (38.64 per match), indicating a robust defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Lack of goals and creativity, with only 0.64 assists per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Tenerife has had mixed results against Huesca, making this encounter unpredictable.
Huesca
- Current Form: Huesca has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.41 goals per match, while maintaining a solid defense with only 0.79 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: Effective in converting chances, with a higher expected goals (1.27) than Tenerife.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to high pressing, as indicated by their higher dangerous own half losses (5.59 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Huesca will look to capitalize on their recent form and offensive prowess to challenge Tenerife.
Key Players Spotlight
- Tenerife: Jérémy Mellot and Yussi Diarra are key figures, with Diarra contributing 5 goals this season.
- Huesca: Patrick Soko is a standout performer with 10 goals, supported by Sergi Enrich and Óscar Sielva, each with 6 goals.
- Matchup: The battle between Diarra and Soko could be decisive, with both players capable of turning the game in their team's favor.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Huesca leads with 1.41 goals per game compared to Tenerife's 0.82.
- Defensive Metrics: Tenerife's higher duels and interceptions suggest a more aggressive defensive approach.
- Possession and Passing: Tenerife averages more passes (351.18) and possession (45.96%) than Huesca, indicating a preference for ball control.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Huesca appears to have a slight edge due to their superior goal-scoring ability and defensive solidity. However, Tenerife's home advantage and defensive resilience could make this a closely fought contest. Key factors such as set-piece efficiency and individual brilliance from players like Soko and Diarra will likely influence the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Tenerife 1-1 Huesca Half Time Score Prediction: Tenerife 0-0 Huesca Both Teams to Score Probability: 47% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 43%