MATCH OVERVIEW
Deportivo Alavés will host Valencia in a pivotal La Liga match at Mendizorrotza Stadium. As the season progresses, both teams are eager to secure points that could influence their standings. Alavés, with a home advantage, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Valencia aims to capitalize on their offensive prowess.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Alavés slightly favored at 2.37, while Valencia stands at 3.04, and a draw at 3.09. This indicates a 42.2% probability for an Alavés win, a 32.4% chance for Valencia, and a 32.4% likelihood of a draw. The odds reflect a balanced matchup, with Alavés having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés has played 7 matches this season, with a modest goal average of 0.86 per game.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 49.86% and successful dribbles (12.86) highlight their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: With an average of 1 goal conceded per match, their defense needs tightening.
Valencia
- Current Form: Valencia has played 6 matches, scoring an average of 1.33 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their offensive rating of 590.36 and goal-scoring ability, led by Hugo Duro, are key assets.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.67 goals per match indicates defensive vulnerabilities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Deportivo Alavés
- Carlos Vicente: With 2 goals this season, Vicente is crucial for Alavés' attacking strategy.
- Jonny Otto: His 236.4 points highlight his defensive contributions.
Valencia
- Hugo Duro: Leading with 3 goals, Duro is Valencia's main threat.
- Julen Agirrezabala: His 304.75 points underscore his importance in goal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Alavés averages 8.14 shots per game, while Valencia has 7.33.
- Defensive Metrics: Valencia's 4 goalkeeper saves per match could be pivotal.
- Possession and Passing: Alavés' 409 passes per game show their midfield control.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the data, Alavés might edge out Valencia due to their home advantage and slightly better defensive stats. Key factors include Alavés' possession and Valencia's goal-scoring ability. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Alavés potentially securing a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: 2-1 in favor of Deportivo Alavés.
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