MATCH OVERVIEW
Mallorca and Deportivo Alavés face off in a pivotal La Liga match that could shape their season trajectories. With Mallorca playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiarity with the Iberostar Stadium to secure a win. Meanwhile, Deportivo Alavés aims to capitalize on their recent form to snatch points away from home.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 2.49 for a Mallorca win, 2.88 for a draw, and 3.42 for a Deportivo Alavés victory. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Mallorca slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 40.2%, a draw at 34.7%, and an away win at 29.2%.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mallorca
- Current Form: Mallorca has shown resilience this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 1.24 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong in duels (201.96 per match) and interceptions (41.36 per match), indicating a robust defensive setup.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 0.96 goals per game and a low assist rate of 0.52.
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Averaging 1.12 goals per match, Alavés has been slightly more prolific in front of goal compared to Mallorca.
- Strengths: Effective in duels (214.16 per match) and has a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.17.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.56 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been tightly contested, with neither team dominating the other in recent encounters.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mallorca
- Vedat Muriqi: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Mallorca's attacking play.
- Antonio Raíllo: Key defensive figure with a high CompaScore rating.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Top scorer with 10 goals, a constant threat to opposition defenses.
- Carles Aleñá: Influential in midfield, contributing significantly to Alavés' play.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Mallorca: Average possession of 47.24%, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense.
- Deportivo Alavés: Slightly lower possession at 45.76%, but more effective in offensive metrics with a higher goals per match.
- Defensive Comparison: Mallorca's interceptions and successful duels suggest a more aggressive defensive strategy compared to Alavés.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely fought. Mallorca's home advantage and defensive solidity might give them a slight edge, but Alavés' attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Mallorca's ability to contain Kike García and Alavés' defensive organization.
Final Score Prediction: Mallorca 1-1 Deportivo Alavés Half Time Score Prediction: Mallorca 0-0 Deportivo Alavés Both Teams to Score Probability: 52% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 46%