The upcoming match between Osasuna and Girona holds substantial importance in the current La Liga season. Both teams are vying for crucial points that could bolster their positions in the league table. Osasuna, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio El Sadar to gain an advantage over Girona, who have been impressive on the road this season.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Osasuna slightly favored at 2.66 compared to Girona's 2.62. The draw is priced at 3.21, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing a win. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Osasuna Win: 37.59%
- Draw: 31.15%
- Girona Win: 38.17%
Given the odds, Girona appears to have a marginally higher probability of winning, but the home advantage could play a pivotal role for Osasuna.
Team Analysis
Osasuna
Osasuna's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.18 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.21%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.5 goals per game. However, their ability to score in 64.29% of matches where both teams find the net is a positive sign.
Strengths:
- High BTTS percentage (64.29%)
- Effective dribbling (16.89 successful dribbles per match)
Weaknesses:
- Defensive vulnerabilities (1.5 goals conceded per match)
- Low possession rate (46.21%)
Girona
Girona has been slightly more consistent, averaging 1.28 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 57.1%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a higher assists rate (0.93 per match) and a solid shots on target average (3.72).
Strengths:
- Strong possession (57.1%)
- High assists rate (0.93 per match)
Weaknesses:
- Defensive lapses (1.55 goals conceded per match)
- Vulnerability to dangerous own half losses (5.28 per match)
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, matches between Osasuna and Girona have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approaches of both teams will be crucial, with Osasuna likely to focus on counter-attacks, while Girona may aim to control the game through possession.
Key Players Spotlight
Osasuna
- Ante Budimir: Leading goal scorer with 15 goals, crucial for Osasuna's attacking play.
- Lucas Torró: Key midfielder with 255.21 points, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Girona
- Cristhian Stuani: Top scorer with 6 goals, pivotal in Girona's forward line.
- Yangel Herrera: Versatile midfielder with 247.48 points, essential for both defense and attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
Comparing team performance metrics, Girona holds an edge in possession and passing accuracy, while Osasuna excels in dribbling and interceptions. Defensively, both teams have similar expected goals against, indicating potential for a balanced match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Girona's superior possession and passing could give them a slight edge, but Osasuna's home advantage and strong dribbling skills might counterbalance this. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on defensive solidity and key player performances.
Final Score Prediction: Osasuna 1-1 Girona Half Time Score Prediction: Osasuna 0-0 Girona Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 45%