MATCH OVERVIEW
Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca face off in a pivotal La Liga clash that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. With Rayo Vallecano playing at home, they will be looking to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Mallorca will aim to upset the hosts and end their season on a positive note.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of Rayo Vallecano, with a home win priced at 1.55, indicating a strong probability of victory. The draw is set at 4.05, while an away win for Mallorca is considered less likely at 6.54. These odds suggest a 64.5% chance for Rayo Vallecano to win, a 24.7% chance for a draw, and a 15.3% chance for Mallorca to triumph.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Rayo Vallecano
- Current Form: Rayo Vallecano has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.11 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.49%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 14.46 successful dribbles per game and a solid defensive line with 40.43 interceptions.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack with only 1.11 goals per game and a high expected goals against of 1.43.
Mallorca
- Current Form: Mallorca has been less prolific in front of goal, averaging 0.95 goals per match with a possession rate of 47.7%.
- Strengths: Effective in long passes with 28.27 successful long passes per game and a decent defensive record with 1.19 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output with only 2.95 shots on target per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Rayo Vallecano has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Mallorca has shown resilience in past meetings.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Rayo Vallecano
- Jorge de Frutos: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial in breaking down defenses.
- Álvaro García: A key playmaker with 4 goals, known for his creativity and assists.
Mallorca
- Vedat Muriqi: Top scorer with 7 goals, a constant threat in the attacking third.
- Cyle Larin: Another key forward with 7 goals, providing a strong presence in the box.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Rayo Vallecano averages 12.08 shots per game compared to Mallorca's 8.76, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive stats, with Rayo Vallecano slightly better in interceptions.
- Possession and Passing: Rayo Vallecano leads in possession and successful passes, suggesting better control in midfield.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Rayo Vallecano is favored to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior attacking metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities. Mallorca will need to capitalize on set-pieces and counter-attacks to challenge the hosts.
Final Score Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca Half Time Score Prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Mallorca Both Teams to Score Probability: 59.46% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.95%