MATCH OVERVIEW
Sevilla and Deportivo Alavés are gearing up for an exciting La Liga showdown at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. With the season reaching its climax, every point is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure their positions in the league table. This match, scheduled for April 20, 2025, at 16:30, is expected to draw significant attention from fans and analysts alike.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Sevilla favored at 2.05, indicating a 48.78% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.06, translating to a 32.68% chance, while Deportivo Alavés is given a 26.60% probability of winning with odds of 3.76. These figures suggest a slight edge for Sevilla, but the possibility of a draw or an away win cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Sevilla
Sevilla has played 29 matches this season, showcasing a mixed form with an average of 1.14 goals per game and a possession rate of 51.59%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.34 goals per match. However, their offensive output has been somewhat limited, with an expected goals (xG) of 1.08. Key strengths include their dribbling ability, averaging 23.1 dribbles per game, and their passing accuracy, completing 361.45 successful passes per match.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés has participated in 30 matches, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per game with a possession rate of 45.3%. Their defense has been slightly more vulnerable, conceding 1.47 goals per match. Despite this, they have a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.2, indicating potential in their attacking play. Their ability to win duels, averaging 216.6 per game, is a notable strength.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Sevilla has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Deportivo Alavés has shown resilience in past encounters, making this matchup unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Sevilla
- Dodi Lukébakio: With 11 goals this season, Lukébakio is a key offensive threat for Sevilla.
- Lucas Ocampos: His overall contribution of 331.16 points highlights his importance in both attack and defense.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: Matching Lukébakio's goal tally, García is crucial for Alavés' attacking prospects.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: His defensive prowess, reflected in 234.87 points, is vital for Alavés.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Sevilla: Averaging 11.34 shots per game, with 3.69 on target.
- Deportivo Alavés: Averaging 9.33 shots per game, with 3.53 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Sevilla: Conceding 1.34 goals per game, with 2.45 goalkeeper saves.
- Deportivo Alavés: Conceding 1.47 goals per game, with 2.4 goalkeeper saves.
Possession and Passing
- Sevilla: 51.59% possession, 434.45 passes per game.
- Deportivo Alavés: 45.3% possession, 328.2 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Sevilla appears to have a slight edge, particularly with their home advantage and historical performance against Alavés. Key factors such as Lukébakio's goal-scoring form and Sevilla's possession play could be decisive. However, Alavés' resilience and García's scoring ability make them formidable opponents.
Final Score Prediction
Sevilla 2-1 Deportivo Alavés
Half Time Score Prediction
Sevilla 1-0 Deportivo Alavés
Match-Winning Factors
- Sevilla's home advantage and possession play
- Lukébakio's goal-scoring form
- Alavés' ability to win duels and García's attacking threat
In conclusion, while Sevilla is favored, Deportivo Alavés has the potential to challenge and possibly secure a draw or narrow victory. Fans can expect a closely contested match with both teams eager to capitalize on their strengths.