MATCH OVERVIEW
Sirius and Häcken are set to face off in a pivotal Allsvenskan match that could shape the trajectory of their season. Sirius, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Studenternas IP stadium to secure a win against Häcken, who are known for their strong away performances. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and secure a favorable position.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match are closely contested, with Sirius having a slight disadvantage at 2.6 compared to Häcken's 2.48. The draw is priced at 3.85, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of winning. The probabilities suggest:
- Home win: 38.5%
- Away win: 40.3%
- Draw: 21.2% Given these odds, Häcken is slightly favored, but the match could swing either way depending on the teams' performances.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Sirius
Sirius has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 7 matches played. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 1.14 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.14%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.71 goals per game. Key strengths include their dribbling success rate of 14.43 and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 71.43.
Häcken
Häcken has been slightly more consistent, with an average of 6 matches played. They boast a higher possession rate of 58.5% and average 1.5 goals per match. Their defense, however, has been vulnerable, conceding 2 goals per game. Häcken's strengths lie in their passing accuracy, with 526.67 successful passes per match, and their offensive prowess, reflected in their CompaScore Offensive Rating of 583.97.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Häcken has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outperforming Sirius in direct encounters. This trend could influence the tactical approaches of both teams, with Sirius likely to adopt a more defensive strategy to counter Häcken's attacking threats.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Sirius
- Leo Walta: With 3 goals this season, Walta is a key offensive player for Sirius.
- Saba Mamatsashvili: Contributing 2 goals, Mamatsashvili adds depth to Sirius's attack.
Häcken
- Amor Layouni: Leading Häcken's scoring with 3 goals, Layouni is a crucial player to watch.
- Simon Gustafson: With 2 goals, Gustafson provides additional firepower for Häcken.
Key Matchups
The battle between Sirius's Walta and Häcken's Layouni could be decisive, as both players have the ability to change the game's outcome with their scoring prowess.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Sirius: Average 10.71 shots per match, with 3.57 on target.
- Häcken: Average 12.83 shots per match, with 4.83 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Sirius: Average 8.14 clearances per match.
- Häcken: Average 5.5 clearances per match.
Possession and Passing
- Sirius: 460 passes per match, with a success rate of 384.86.
- Häcken: 607.5 passes per match, with a success rate of 526.67.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Häcken appears to have a slight edge due to their superior passing and possession statistics. However, Sirius's home advantage and high Both Teams To Score percentage could play a crucial role.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Häcken's passing accuracy and offensive strength.
- Sirius's ability to capitalize on home advantage and their dribbling success.
Final Score Prediction
Given the statistics and odds, a close match is expected, with Häcken likely to edge out Sirius. Predicted final score: 2-1 in favor of Häcken.