MATCH OVERVIEW
Basel and Thun are gearing up for a pivotal Swiss Superleague match at St. Jakob-Park. Scheduled for February 1, 2026, at 15:30, this game holds significant weight in the current season as both teams vie for crucial points. Basel, known for their home advantage, will look to leverage their strong form against a resilient Thun side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 1.92 for a Basel win, 3.73 for a draw, and 3.25 for a Thun victory. These odds suggest a 52.1% probability for a Basel win, a 26.8% chance for a draw, and a 30.8% likelihood of a Thun win. The odds favor Basel slightly, indicating a competitive match with a slight edge for the home team.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Basel
Basel has played 21 matches this season, with a notable 57.14% of those games seeing over 2.5 goals. They have a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.57 goals per game and maintaining 55.52% possession. Defensively, they concede 1.14 goals per match, showcasing a balanced approach.
Thun
Thun, on the other hand, has a higher over 2.5 goals percentage at 76.19%, indicating their attacking prowess. They average 2.19 goals per game and have a slightly lower possession rate of 46.43%. Thun's defense concedes 1.19 goals per match, making them a formidable opponent.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, Basel has had the upper hand, but Thun's current form suggests they could challenge Basel's dominance. Tactical adjustments will be key for both teams as they aim to exploit each other's weaknesses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Basel
- Xherdan Shaqiri: With 9 goals this season, Shaqiri is Basel's top scorer and a crucial playmaker.
- Philip Otele: Contributing 5 goals, Otele's form will be vital in breaking Thun's defense.
Thun
- Christopher Ibayi: Leading Thun's attack with 9 goals, Ibayi's performance will be pivotal.
- Elmin Rastoder: With 8 goals, Rastoder adds depth to Thun's offensive lineup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Basel averages 16.1 shots per game, with 5.81 on target, while Thun averages 17.05 shots, with 6 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Basel's defense is slightly more robust, with 39.14 interceptions per game compared to Thun's 41.33.
- Possession and Passing: Basel's superior possession (55.52%) and passing accuracy could be decisive against Thun's 46.43% possession.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Basel is slightly favored to win, but Thun's attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Basel's home advantage and Thun's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. A closely contested match is expected, with Basel likely edging out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Basel 2-1 Thun Half Time Score Prediction: Basel 1-1 Thun Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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