MATCH OVERVIEW
Beşiktaş and Hatayspor are gearing up for a crucial Turkey Super League match at Vodafone Park. As the season progresses, Beşiktaş is keen on securing a top-four finish, while Hatayspor aims to avoid relegation battles. The home advantage could play a pivotal role for Beşiktaş, who have been strong at home this season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Beşiktaş with a 1.18 chance of winning, translating to an 84.75% probability. The draw is priced at 6.67, giving it a 15% chance, while Hatayspor's odds of 11.29 suggest a mere 8.85% probability of an away win. These odds indicate a strong likelihood of a Beşiktaş victory, given their superior form and home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Beşiktaş
- Form: Beşiktaş has been consistent, with a solid average of 1.45 goals per match.
- Strengths: High possession rate (55.34%) and effective dribbling (17.24 successful dribbles).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (4.72 per match).
Hatayspor
- Form: Struggling with a higher average of conceded goals (1.86).
- Strengths: Effective interceptions (44.79 per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower possession (47.55%) and goal-scoring rate (1.03 goals per match).
Head-to-Head
Beşiktaş has historically dominated Hatayspor, with a better win record in past encounters. Their tactical approach, focusing on possession and quick transitions, has often outmatched Hatayspor's defensive setup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Beşiktaş
- Ciro Immobile: Leading scorer with 11 goals, crucial for breaking down defenses.
- Rafa: Contributing 8 goals, his creativity is vital in midfield.
Hatayspor
- Vincent Aboubakar: Top scorer with 8 goals, key to Hatayspor's attacking threat.
- Francisco Calvo: Defensive stalwart, essential for countering Beşiktaş's offensive plays.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Beşiktaş averages 12.48 shots per match, with 4.31 on target, compared to Hatayspor's 10.52 shots and 3.69 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Beşiktaş concedes fewer goals (1.03) than Hatayspor (1.86), showcasing a stronger defensive line.
- Possession and Passing: Beşiktaş's higher possession and successful passes (388.66) give them a tactical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical advantages and odds, Beşiktaş is expected to dominate the match. Their home form and attacking prowess should see them secure a comfortable victory. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and exploit Hatayspor's defensive weaknesses.
Final Score Prediction: Beşiktaş 3-1 Hatayspor Half Time Score Prediction: Beşiktaş 1-0 Hatayspor Both Teams to Score Probability: 62% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%