MATCH OVERVIEW
Gaziantep and Alanyaspor are set to face off in a pivotal Turkey Super League match. Scheduled for May 9, 2025, at 17:00 GMT, this game will take place at Gaziantep's home ground. Both teams are eager to secure points as the season nears its climax, making this match crucial for their league positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are as follows: Gaziantep to win at 2.32, a draw at 3.35, and Alanyaspor to win at 2.77. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Gaziantep slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Gaziantep victory stands at approximately 43%, while Alanyaspor's chances are around 36%, and a draw is at 30%.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Gaziantep
Gaziantep has played 32 matches this season, with a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 59.38%. They average 1.28 goals per game and possess a CompaScore Rating of 1893.68. Their offensive play is marked by 11.53 shots per game, with 4.03 on target. However, their defense has conceded an average of 1.41 goals per match.
Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor, with 31 matches under their belt, has an Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 48.39%. They average 1.16 goals per game and hold a CompaScore Rating of 1811.63. Alanyaspor's possession rate is slightly higher at 50.48%, and they average 10.68 shots per game, with 3.32 on target.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Gaziantep and Alanyaspor have had competitive encounters, with Gaziantep often leveraging their home advantage. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with both teams aiming to exploit their strengths.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Gaziantep
- David Okereke: Leading scorer with 8 goals, Okereke is crucial for Gaziantep's attacking prowess.
- Deian Sorescu: With 177.14 points, Sorescu's performance will be vital in midfield.
Alanyaspor
- Sergio Córdova: Top scorer with 9 goals, Córdova is a key threat in Alanyaspor's attack.
- Loide Augusto: With 178.77 points, Augusto's contributions in defense and attack are significant.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Gaziantep averages 1.28 goals per game, while Alanyaspor averages 1.16.
- Gaziantep's Expected Goals (xG) is 1.45, slightly higher than Alanyaspor's 1.37.
Defensive Metrics
- Gaziantep concedes 1.41 goals per game, whereas Alanyaspor concedes 1.52.
- Gaziantep's Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.65, compared to Alanyaspor's 1.53.
Possession and Passing
- Gaziantep's possession rate is 46.19%, while Alanyaspor's is 50.48%.
- Alanyaspor averages more passes per game (416.06) compared to Gaziantep (339.06).
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Gaziantep's home advantage and slightly better offensive metrics give them a slight edge. However, Alanyaspor's possession and passing accuracy could pose challenges.
Match-Winning Factors
- Gaziantep's ability to convert chances through Okereke and Sorescu.
- Alanyaspor's defensive resilience and counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction
Gaziantep 2-1 Alanyaspor
Half Time Score Prediction
Gaziantep 1-0 Alanyaspor
Overall, this match is expected to be closely contested, with Gaziantep likely to edge out Alanyaspor due to their home advantage and attacking capabilities.