The upcoming match between Charlotte FC and Cincinnati holds significant weight in the current MLS season. Both teams are looking to climb the standings, making this encounter pivotal for their playoff aspirations. Charlotte FC, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Cincinnati seeks to upset the hosts and gain valuable away points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Charlotte FC, with odds of 2.05 for a home win, translating to a 48.8% probability. The draw is priced at 3.49, indicating a 28.7% chance, while Cincinnati's odds of 3.12 give them a 32.1% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Charlotte FC is favored to win, but the match is expected to be competitive.
Team Analysis
Charlotte FC
- Current Form: Charlotte FC has shown a promising start with an average of 2 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal on average.
- Strengths: Strong dueling ability with 196.5 duels per match and effective passing with 419 passes on average.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output with only 8 shots per match and a low expected goals (xG) of 1.02.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Charlotte FC has had mixed results against Cincinnati, making this match crucial for establishing dominance.
Cincinnati
- Current Form: Cincinnati has struggled defensively, conceding 2 goals per match, but they maintain a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.51.
- Strengths: High dueling success with 211.5 duels per match and a strong passing game with 477 passes on average.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense with a high expected goals against (xGA) of 1.58 and limited offensive efficiency with only 2 shots on target per match.
- Head-to-Head: Cincinnati will look to improve their record against Charlotte FC, leveraging their offensive potential.
Key Players Spotlight
- Charlotte FC: Wilfried Zaha has been a standout performer, contributing 1 goal and showcasing his attacking prowess. Goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina's 261.12 points highlight his importance in maintaining defensive stability.
- Cincinnati: Kévin Denkey and Evander have both scored 1 goal each, providing crucial attacking options. Lukas Engel's 170.93 points underline his influence in midfield.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Charlotte FC averages 2 goals per match, while Cincinnati scores 1. However, Cincinnati's higher xG of 1.51 suggests potential for more goals.
- Defensive Metrics: Charlotte FC's defense is more robust, conceding 1 goal per match compared to Cincinnati's 2.
- Possession and Passing: Cincinnati holds a slight edge in possession with 49% compared to Charlotte's 42.5%, and they also complete more passes per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Charlotte FC is favored to win, but Cincinnati's offensive potential cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as home advantage and defensive solidity could tilt the match in Charlotte's favor. Expect a closely contested game with both teams likely to score.
Final Score Prediction: Charlotte FC 2-1 Cincinnati Half Time Score Prediction: Charlotte FC 1-0 Cincinnati Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 50%