MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming MLS match between FC Dallas and New York City FC is set to be a pivotal clash in the league's ongoing season. Both teams are eager to secure a win to bolster their standings, making this encounter at Toyota Stadium a must-watch event. Scheduled for July 26, 2025, at 00:30 UTC, the match will see Dallas trying to capitalize on their home turf against a competitive New York City squad.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Dallas having a slight edge at 2.44 compared to New York City's 2.64. The draw is priced at 3.45, indicating a balanced probability across outcomes. The odds imply a 40.98% chance for a Dallas victory, a 28.99% chance for a draw, and a 37.88% chance for New York City to win. Given these figures, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with Dallas having a marginal advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dallas
Dallas has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 23 matches played. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a 56.52% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals and a similar percentage for both teams scoring. However, their possession rate of 42.83% suggests a need for improvement in controlling the game. Defensively, Dallas concedes an average of 1.78 goals per match, which could be a concern against New York City's attacking prowess.
New York City
New York City FC has demonstrated a solid performance with a higher possession rate of 54.09%. Their defensive strength is evident with only 1.13 goals conceded per match. Offensively, they average 1.3 goals per game, supported by a strong passing game with 506.91 passes per match. Their ability to maintain possession and create opportunities will be crucial against Dallas.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Dallas and New York City have been competitive, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach from both sides will be key, as Dallas will look to exploit their home advantage while New York City aims to leverage their superior possession and passing game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dallas
Petar Musa stands out with 11 goals this season, making him a critical player for Dallas. His ability to find the back of the net will be vital in breaking down New York City's defense. Luciano Acosta and Anderson Julio also contribute significantly to Dallas's attacking options.
New York City
Alonso Martínez and Hannes Wolf, both with 9 goals, are key figures in New York City's attack. Their form and ability to score will be essential in challenging Dallas's defense. Maxi Moralez's experience and playmaking skills add depth to New York City's offensive strategies.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Dallas averages 1.39 goals per match, while New York City averages 1.3.
- Dallas's shots on target stand at 4.17 compared to New York City's 3.96.
Defensive Metrics
- Dallas concedes 1.78 goals per match, whereas New York City concedes 1.13.
- New York City's defensive rating is slightly higher at 327.16 compared to Dallas's 315.08.
Possession and Passing
- New York City excels in possession with 54.09% compared to Dallas's 42.83%.
- New York City's passing accuracy is superior, with 425.48 successful passes per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, New York City FC appears to have a slight edge due to their superior possession and defensive capabilities. However, Dallas's home advantage and attacking threats like Petar Musa could turn the tide. Key factors will include Dallas's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities and New York City's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction
Dallas 1 - 2 New York City
Half Time Score Prediction
Dallas 0 - 1 New York City
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 40.98%
- Away Win: 37.88%
- Draw: 28.99%
- Both Teams to Score: 56.52%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 52.17%
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