MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming MLS match between New England Revolution and SJ Earthquakes is set to take place at the iconic Gillette Stadium. Scheduled for May 17, 2025, at 23:30 UTC, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. New England, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while SJ Earthquakes will aim to continue their impressive form on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with New England slightly favored at 1.99. The probability of a draw stands at 3.83, while SJ Earthquakes are priced at 3.38. These odds translate to a 50.3% chance of a home win, a 26.1% chance of a draw, and a 29.6% chance of an away victory. Given the odds, New England holds a slight edge, but SJ Earthquakes' attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
New England Revolution
- Current Form: New England has played 11 matches this season, with a modest average of 1.09 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.91 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Struggling offensively, they have a low Over 2.5 Goals Percentage of 27.27%.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, New England has had mixed results against SJ Earthquakes, making this match unpredictable.
SJ Earthquakes
- Current Form: SJ Earthquakes have played 12 matches, boasting a strong average of 2.17 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is evident with a high Over 2.5 Goals Percentage of 75%.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede 1.67 goals per match, which could be exploited by New England.
- Head-to-Head: SJ Earthquakes have shown resilience in past encounters, often challenging New England's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
New England Revolution
- Carles Gil: With 6 goals this season, Gil is a key figure in New England's attack.
- Aljaz Ivacic: His defensive contributions are crucial, with 254.82 points this season.
SJ Earthquakes
- Cristian Arango: Leading the scoring charts with 8 goals, Arango is a threat to any defense.
- Cristian Espinoza: His playmaking abilities, with 250.87 points, make him a vital asset.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: SJ Earthquakes average 15.5 shots per game, significantly higher than New England's 10.73.
- Defensive Metrics: New England's interceptions average at 41.91, showcasing their defensive discipline.
- Possession: SJ Earthquakes slightly edge New England with 48.75% possession.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, SJ Earthquakes' offensive strength gives them a slight advantage, despite New England's home ground benefit. Key factors include SJ Earthquakes' higher goal-scoring rate and New England's defensive solidity. The match is likely to be closely contested, with SJ Earthquakes potentially edging out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: SJ Earthquakes 2-1 New England Half Time Score Prediction: SJ Earthquakes 1-1 New England Probability of Both Teams to Score: 75% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 60%