Match Overview
Hansa Rostock and Ingolstadt face off in a crucial 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings. With Hansa Rostock playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage to secure vital points. Ingolstadt, on the other hand, will aim to capitalize on their strong offensive form to challenge the hosts.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Hansa Rostock to win at 1.99, a draw at 3.48, and Ingolstadt to win at 3.5. This suggests a tight contest, with Hansa Rostock slightly favored to win. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 50.3% for a Hansa Rostock win, 28.7% for a draw, and 28.6% for an Ingolstadt win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with a slight edge to the home team.
Team Analysis
Hansa Rostock
- Current Form: Hansa Rostock has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.32 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.76%.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with a success rate of 51.4% and effective in dribbles with 16.32 successful dribbles per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in defense, conceding an average of 1.28 goals per match.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.96 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 76%.
- Strengths: Offensive prowess with 5.08 shots on target per match and a high CompaScore Offensive Rating of 426.42.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 1.44 goals per match and a lower possession rate of 48.36%.
Head-to-Head
In recent encounters, both teams have shown competitive spirit, with matches often resulting in close scorelines. Tactical approaches will be crucial, with Hansa Rostock likely to focus on maintaining possession and Ingolstadt aiming to exploit counter-attacks.
Key Players Spotlight
- Hansa Rostock: Sigurd Haugen, with 7 goals this season, will be pivotal in leading the attack. Ahmet Gürleyen's defensive contributions will also be crucial.
- Ingolstadt: Sebastian Grönning, the top scorer with 15 goals, poses a significant threat. Pelle Boevink's performance in goal will be vital for Ingolstadt's defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt leads with a higher average of goals (1.96) compared to Hansa Rostock's 1.32.
- Defensive Metrics: Hansa Rostock has a slightly better defensive record with an Expected Goals Against of 1.24 compared to Ingolstadt's 1.68.
- Possession and Passing: Hansa Rostock averages more passes per match (393.68) than Ingolstadt (378.96), indicating a more possession-based approach.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Hansa Rostock's home advantage and balanced play give them a slight edge. However, Ingolstadt's attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated. Key factors will include Hansa Rostock's ability to control possession and Ingolstadt's efficiency in front of goal. Expect a closely contested match with potential for goals from both sides.