Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a clear favoritism towards Bologna, with odds of 1.8 for an away win, translating to a 55.6% probability. Hellas Verona, with odds of 4.93, has a mere 20.3% chance of winning, while a draw is priced at 3.41, indicating a 29.3% probability. Given these odds, Bologna is expected to dominate, but Verona's home advantage could play a crucial role.
Team Analysis
Hellas Verona
- Current Form: Verona has struggled this season, with a low average possession of 39.46% and a goal-scoring rate of 1.04 per match.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbles with 12.19 successful dribbles per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 2.08 goals per match.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Bologna has had the upper hand in recent encounters.
Bologna
- Current Form: Bologna is in better form, averaging 1.54 goals per match and maintaining 58.38% possession.
- Strengths: Solid defense, conceding only 1.23 goals per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their 2.46 dangerous own half losses.
Key Players Spotlight
- Hellas Verona: Casper Tengstedt, with 6 goals, is Verona's main attacking threat.
- Bologna: Riccardo Orsolini and Santiago Castro, both with 7 goals, are key to Bologna's offensive play.
- Matchup: Tengstedt vs. Beukema could be pivotal, with Beukema's defensive prowess crucial for Bologna.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Bologna leads with 12.58 shots per game compared to Verona's 9.62.
- Defensive Metrics: Bologna's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a higher CompaScore Defensive Rating.
- Possession and Passing: Bologna's superior passing accuracy and possession could dictate the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Bologna's superior form and statistical advantages make them favorites. Key factors include their defensive solidity and Verona's struggle to maintain possession. Expect Bologna to control the match, with a likely final score of 2-1 in their favor.