Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong favor towards the home team, Go Ahead Eagles, with odds of 1.63. This translates to a probability of approximately 61.35% for a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 4.13, indicating a 24.21% chance, while Willem II's odds of 4.63 suggest a 21.60% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Go Ahead Eagles are expected to dominate, but Willem II could still pose a threat.
Team Analysis
Go Ahead Eagles
- Current Form: Go Ahead Eagles have shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.79 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.96%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 66.67% over 2.5 goals rate and 54.17% both teams to score rate.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede an average of 1.58 goals per match, which could be a concern against a determined Willem II.
Willem II
- Current Form: Willem II have struggled offensively, averaging only 1.08 goals per match, but their defense has been relatively solid with 1.58 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: Their ability to intercept (45.46 per match) and successful duels (90.21) could disrupt Go Ahead Eagles' play.
- Weaknesses: A lower possession rate of 44.08% and fewer shots on target (2.92) highlight their attacking struggles.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Go Ahead Eagles have had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Willem II's resilience cannot be underestimated. Tactical adjustments will be key for both teams.
Tactical Approaches
- Go Ahead Eagles: Likely to focus on their attacking prowess, utilizing their high dribble success rate (12.79) and key passes (3.13) to break down Willem II's defense.
- Willem II: May adopt a more defensive approach, relying on counter-attacks and set-pieces, given their lower offensive metrics.
Key Players Spotlight
Go Ahead Eagles
- Jakob Breum: With 9 goals this season, Breum is a crucial attacking threat.
- Oliver Valaker Edvardsen: Another key player with 8 goals, his partnership with Breum could be decisive.
Willem II
- Cisse Sandra and Kyan Vaesen: Both have scored 4 goals each, and their performance will be vital for Willem II's chances.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Go Ahead Eagles average 12.42 shots per match compared to Willem II's 7.54, indicating a more aggressive attacking style.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams concede an average of 1.58 goals, but Go Ahead Eagles' higher interception rate (38.29) could give them an edge.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Go Ahead Eagles are favored to win. Key factors include their superior offensive metrics and home advantage. However, Willem II's defensive resilience could make it a closer contest than expected.
Final Score Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Willem II Half Time Score Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 Willem II Both Teams to Score Probability: 54% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 67%