Las Palmas and Deportivo Alavés are set to face off in a match that could have significant implications for their respective seasons. With both teams hovering around the mid-table, a win could propel them closer to the top half, while a loss might see them slip into the lower echelons. The Estadio de Gran Canaria will be the battleground for this encounter, promising an exciting evening of football.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Las Palmas slightly favored at 2.63, while Deportivo Alavés are at 2.7, and a draw is priced at 3.17. This indicates a tight match, with probabilities reflecting a 37.9% chance for a home win, 31.5% for a draw, and 37% for an away win. The odds suggest that both teams have a nearly equal chance of securing victory, making this a difficult match to predict.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Las Palmas
- Current Form: Las Palmas have shown mixed form this season, with an average of 1.15 goals per match and a possession rate of 49.46%.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage (73.08%) and a solid dribbling success rate (11.92 per match).
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.69 goals per match and a relatively low assist rate (0.62 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Las Palmas have struggled against Alavés, but their home advantage could play a crucial role.
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés have been competitive, averaging 1.12 goals per match with a possession rate of 46.12%.
- Strengths: Strong defensive metrics with a lower expected goals against (1.27) and effective dueling (104.69 successful duels per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower BTTS percentage (57.69%) and fewer shots on target (3.54 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Alavés have had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could boost their confidence.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Las Palmas: Sandro Ramírez is a key figure with 8 goals this season, supported by Fábio Silva with 7 goals.
- Deportivo Alavés: Kike García leads the charge with 11 goals, making him a significant threat.
- Matchup: The battle between Ramírez and García could be pivotal, with both players in fine form.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Las Palmas average 10.15 shots per match, slightly higher than Alavés' 9.46.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés have a better defensive record, conceding 1.54 goals per match compared to Las Palmas' 1.69.
- Possession and Passing: Las Palmas have a higher pass completion rate, which could be crucial in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested. Las Palmas' home advantage and higher BTTS percentage suggest they might edge it, but Alavés' strong defense and recent head-to-head success cannot be overlooked. Key factors will include the performance of top scorers Ramírez and García, as well as each team's ability to capitalize on their strengths.
Final Score Prediction: Las Palmas 2-2 Deportivo Alavés Potential Match-Winning Factors: Home advantage for Las Palmas, defensive solidity for Alavés, and the form of key players.