Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Atlético Tucumán and Newell's Old Boys in the Primera División is a pivotal fixture for both teams. With Atlético Tucumán playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage to secure a win. Meanwhile, Newell's Old Boys will aim to upset the hosts and gain valuable points on the road.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Atlético Tucumán with odds of 1.98, indicating a 50.5% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.11, translating to a 32.1% chance, while Newell's Old Boys are considered underdogs with odds of 4.02, giving them a 24.9% probability of winning. Based on these odds, a home victory seems the most likely outcome.
Team Analysis
Atlético Tucumán
- Current Form: Atlético Tucumán has shown moderate form this season, with an average of 1.14 goals per match and a possession rate of 50%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 13.43 attempts per game and a solid defensive interception rate of 33.
- Weaknesses: Conceding an average of 1.43 goals per match, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form: Struggling offensively with only 0.29 goals per match, but maintaining a higher possession rate of 56.86%.
- Strengths: Effective in duels with 216.43 per match and a high successful dribble rate of 18.43.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a tendency to concede, with 1.57 goals against per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Atlético Tucumán has had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Newell's Old Boys will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
Tactical Approaches
- Atlético Tucumán: Likely to focus on exploiting their dribbling skills and maintaining a balanced approach between attack and defense.
- Newell's Old Boys: May prioritize possession and look to control the midfield, aiming to create opportunities through their high dribble success rate.
Key Players Spotlight
Atlético Tucumán
- Mateo Coronel: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals this season, crucial for their attacking play.
- Marcelo Estigarribia: Key midfielder with a high performance rating of 196.27 points.
Newell's Old Boys
- Saúl Salcedo: Defensive stalwart with a top performance rating of 242.53 points.
- Éver Banega: Experienced playmaker, contributing both in goals and assists.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Atlético Tucumán averages 11 shots per game, while Newell's Old Boys slightly edge them with 12.43 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Newell's Old Boys have a higher interception rate, which could be pivotal in disrupting Atlético Tucumán's attacks.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical insights and current form, Atlético Tucumán is favored to win, especially with their home advantage. Key factors include their dribbling prowess and the goal-scoring ability of Mateo Coronel. Newell's Old Boys will need to improve their offensive output to challenge effectively.
Final Score Prediction: Atlético Tucumán 2-1 Newell's Old Boys Half Time Score Prediction: Atlético Tucumán 1-0 Newell's Old Boys Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%