Match Overview
Newell's Old Boys and Belgrano are gearing up for a crucial match in the Primera División, with both teams looking to secure vital points. Newell's Old Boys, playing at home, will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Belgrano seeks to upset the hosts and improve their standing.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Newell's Old Boys to win at 2.33, a draw at 3.04, and Belgrano to win at 3.06. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Newell's Old Boys slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 42.9%, a draw at 32.9%, and an away win at 32.7%.
Team Analysis
Newell's Old Boys
- Current Form: Newell's Old Boys have struggled offensively, averaging only 0.29 goals per match this season.
- Strengths: High possession rate (56.86%) and strong passing accuracy with 345.29 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a high average of 1.57 goals conceded per match.
Belgrano
- Current Form: Belgrano has shown better offensive capabilities, averaging 0.86 goals per match.
- Strengths: Effective in interceptions (37.71 per match) and a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.32.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.86 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with Newell's Old Boys often having the upper hand at home.
Tactical Approaches
Newell's Old Boys will likely focus on maintaining possession and controlling the midfield, while Belgrano may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging their interception skills.
Key Players Spotlight
Newell's Old Boys
- Saúl Salcedo: Leading with 242.53 points, crucial in defense.
- Éver Banega: Key playmaker with 163.32 points and 1 goal this season.
Belgrano
- Nicolás Fernández: Top scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in attack.
- Tobias Ostchega: Defensive stalwart with 192.41 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Belgrano leads in goals per match (0.86 vs. 0.29) and expected goals (1.32 vs. 1.04).
- Defensive Metrics: Newell's Old Boys have a slightly better expected goals against (1.16 vs. 1.28).
- Possession and Passing: Newell's Old Boys dominate possession and passing accuracy, which could be decisive.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Newell's Old Boys have a slight edge due to their home advantage and superior possession stats. However, Belgrano's offensive threat cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely be Newell's ability to convert possession into goals and Belgrano's counter-attacking efficiency.
Final Score Prediction: Newell's Old Boys 1-1 Belgrano Key Points:
- Newell's home advantage and possession play
- Belgrano's offensive threat and interception skills
- Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities